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France Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 68 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

The construction industry should return to growth in 2016, with 0.80% real growth after years of strong contraction. Nevertheless, growth will remain weak over the next few years as a weak domestic economic environment and ongoing policy and regulatory uncertainty are undermining investor confidence and we expect to see limited gains in terms of fixed capital formation.


Forecasts And Latest Updates

- Weaknesses in France's labour market - in terms of unemployment and lack of competitiveness - support our modest outlook over the country's construction industry.

- This quarter, our Country Risk team further revised down France's GDP growth forecasts for 2016 and 2017 to 1.3% and 0.9%, respectively. Prior to the revision they forecast 1.4% growth in 2016 and 2017.This is on the back of the Brexit referendum results and the likely exit of the UK from the EU as France is among the most exposed countries to the UK leaving the single market via the foreign direct investment and trade channels. This has the potential for us to revise our construction industry growth forecast to the downside, based on whether projects are impacted.

- Our outlook for the residential and non-residential construction sector in France remains subdued. Following severe contractions over the past four years, we expect to see modest, but positive growth from 2016 onwards. However, annual expansion will remain in the low single digits throughout the forecast period to 2025, with few catalysts in place for stronger growth.

Table Of Contents

France Infrastructure Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (France 2015-2025) 8
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (France 2016) 8
SWOT 9
Infrastructure SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 11
Latest Developments 11
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (France 2015-2025) 11
Structural Trends 11
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 17
Latest Developments 17
Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (France 2015-2025) 17
Structural Trends 18
Table: Key Projects: Transport 25
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook and Overview 26
Latest Developments 26
Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (France 2015-2025) 26
Structural Trends 26
Table: Key Projects: Energy and Utilities 33
Residential/NonResidential Building - Outlook And Overview 34
Latest Developments 34
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (France 2015-2025) 34
Structural Trends 34
Table: Key Projects: Construction and Social Infrastructure 38
Industry Risk Reward Index 39
France - Industry Risk/Reward Index 39
Rewards 39
Risks 39
NAWE Infrastructure RRI: Limited Risks And Growing Rewards 40
Table: North America And Western Europe: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 49
Market Overview 50
Competitive Landscape 50
Table: France - Company Financial Data 51
Company Profile 52
Bouygues Group 52
EDF Group 55
VINCI Group 58
France Infrastructure Report Q4 2016$$
Table: VINCI 2015 Key Financial Results Table 60
Methodology 61
Industry Forecast Methodology 61
Sector-Specific Methodology 62
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 66
Sector-Specific Methodology 67
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 67
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 68

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