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Egypt Oil and Gas Report Q4 2015

  • October 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 163 pages

BMI View: Investment on workovers, new gas developments and LNG imports will be crucial to meetinggas demand over the next five years, while the Zohr discovery could solve Egypt's gas challenges in the longterm. New investment to modernising the refining sector will reduce the diesel import burden.
We highlight the following trends and developments in Egypt's oil and gas sector:
- The 840bcm discovery of the Zohr field in the deepwater Mediterranean could see Egypt return to being anet gas exporter in the 2020s, if the field is successfully appraised.
- The giant gas discovery will put potential export projects from Cyprus and Israel at risk.
- Technip will be undertaking a modernisation programme at the Assuit refinery and a 60,000b/dexpansion at the MIDOR refinery, both targeting increased diesel output.

Table Of Contents

Egypt Oil and Gas Report Q4 2015
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Egypt 2013-2019) 7
SWOT 9
Oil and Gas SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Upstream Exploration 11
Table: Onshore And Offshore International Bid Round 2013 Awards 12
Table: Wellhead Gas Prices 13
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Egypt 2013-2018) 14
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Egypt 2019-2024) 14
Upstream Projects 15
Table: Key Upstream Oil And Gas Projects In Egypt 15
Upstream Production - Oil 19
Table: Oil Production (Egypt 2013-2018) 21
Table: Oil Production (Egypt 2019-2024) 21
Upstream Production - Gas 22
Table: Gas Production (Egypt 2013-2018) 25
Table: Gas Production (Egypt 2019-2024) 25
Refining 26
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Egypt 2013-2018) 29
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Egypt 2019-2024) 29
Refined Fuels Consumption 30
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Egypt 2013-2018) 30
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Egypt 2019-2024) 30
Gas Consumption 33
Table: New Natural Gas Subsidies For Grid Connected Users 34
Table: Gas Consumption (Egypt 2013-2018) 34
Table: Gas Consumption (Egypt 2019-2024) 35
Trade - Oil 35
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Egypt 2013-2018) 35
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Egypt 2019-2024) 36
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Egypt 2013-2018) 38
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Egypt 2019-2024) 38
Table: Total Net Oil Exports - Crude and Products (Egypt 2013-2018) 40
Table: Total Net Oil Exports - Crude and Products (Egypt 2019-2024) 40
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 41
Table: Gas Net Exports (Egypt 2013-2018) 41
Table: Gas Net Exports (Egypt 2019-2024) 42
Industry Risk Reward Index 44
Africa Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 44
Table: BMI's Africa Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 44
Above-Ground Risks Dulling Below-Ground Potential 47
Table: BMI's Africa Upstream Risk/Reward Index 47
Downstream Sector Holds Limited Opportunity 50
Table: BMI's Africa Downstream Risk/Reward Index 50
Egypt - Risk/Reward Index 52
Market Overview 54
Egypt Energy Market Overview 54
Regulation 54
Political Regime 54
Fiscal Regime 56
Table: Egyptian Tax Regime 56
Licensing Rounds 56
Table: Onshore And Offshore International Bid Round 2013 Awards 57
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 58
Oil Refineries 58
Table: Refineries In Egypt 58
Service Stations 60
Oil Storage Facilities 60
Oil Terminals/Ports 60
Oil Pipelines 60
LNG Terminals 61
Table: LNG Export Terminals In Egypt 61
Table: LNG Import Terminals 62
Gas Pipelines 62
Competitive Landscape 63
Competitive Landscape Summary 63
Table: Key Players - Egyptian Energy Sector 65
Table: Key Upstream Players 65
Table: Key Downstream Players 66
Company Profile 67
Egyptian General Petroleum Corporation 67
BP Egypt 71
Eni Egypt 76
Shell Egypt 81
BG Egypt 85
Apache Energy 92
Dana Gas 97
Edison 102
L1 Energy Dea 106
Other Summaries 110
Regional Overview 120
Africa Oil and Gas Regional Overview 120
Global Industry Overview 128
Global Energy Market Overview 128
Table: Top 10 Global Oil Producers - Crude Oil, Condensates and NGLs Production ('000b/d) 128
Table: Oil Production Growth 2015-2024* ('000b/d) 131
Table: Oil Production Growth 2015-2024* ('000b/d) 132
Appendix 134
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-Year Forecasts 134
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2013-2018) 134
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2019-2024) 135
Africa - Regional Appendix 136
Table: Oil Consumption - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 ('000b/d) 136
Table: Oil Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 ('000b/d) 137
Table: Oil Production - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 ('000b/d) 138
Table: Oil Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 ('000b/d) 139
Table: Refining Capacity - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 ('000b/d) 140
Table: Refining Capacity - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 ('000b/d) 141
Table: Gas Consumption - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 (bcm) 142
Table: Gas Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 (bcm) 142
Table: Gas Production - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 (bcm) 143
Table: Gas Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 (bcm) 144
Table: LNG Net Exports - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 (bcm) 145
Table: LNG Net Exports - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 (bcm) 146
Egypt - Total Hydrocarbons, 10-Year Forecasts 147
Table: Total Hydrocarbons Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Egypt 2013-2018) 147
Table: Total Hydrocarbons Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Egypt 2019-2024) 147
Egypt - Refined Products Breakdown, 10-Year Forecast 148
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown (Egypt 2013-2018) 148
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown (Egypt 2019-2024) 149
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown (Egypt 2013-2018) 150
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown (Egypt 2019-2024) 151
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown (Egypt 2013-2018) 153
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown (Egypt 2019-2024) 153
Table: LPG Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Egypt 2013-2018) 154
Table: LPG Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Egypt 2019-2024) 155
Glossary 156
Table: Glossary Of Terms 156
Methodology 158
Industry Forecast Methodology 158
Source 160
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 160
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 162
Table: Weighting 163

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