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Uganda Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

  • September 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 58 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View: Operators continue to make investments in advanced data networks. However, MFS is likely to remain the primary VAS in the mobile market as traction in the take-up of advanced mobile data services remains slow. Notwithstanding, low mobile penetration, which we forecast at 57% in 2016 and inactive Sims in the market are both indicative of organic subscriber growth opportunities in underserved high Capex/low margin regions. Should operators pursue this, the mobile market may see positive net subscriber addition. We believe enterprise subscriptions will continue to drive moderate growth in the fixed voice market. Low spending power and limited access to devices will, however, continue to keep broadband penetration low and the pay TV market will experience growth constraints in 2016 deriving from single digit inflation in the market.

Latest Updates & Industry Developments
- The mobile market grew to 20.7mn in 2015, a penetration rate of 53%.
- The number of mobile money accounts in Uganda increased to 18.93mn in March 2016. The accounts were down 56,000 from 18.99mn in March 2015.
- The mandatory mobile registration brought into effect towards end-2015 resulted in a significant decline in the number of connections in H215. MTN lost over 2.5mn connections in Q415 alone. However, signs of a recovery are evident as the operator posted growth of 695,000 subscribers in Q116.
- MTN took a loan of USD114mn from a consortium of international banks to invest in a network infrastructure in the country. The company claims to be committed to` rolling out data services that spread across the varied geography of the nation.

Table Of Contents

Uganda Telecommunications Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Uganda 2014-2020) 15
Industry Risk Reward Index 16
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index 16
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q4 2016 20
Industry Risk/Reward Index 21
Market Overview 23
Market Drivers and Trends 23
Mobile 24
Wireline Voice and Broadband 27
Pay-TV/Convergence 30
Regulatory Development 32
Regulatory Overview 32
Industry Risks 32
Main Development: UCC's Unified Licensing Regime 33
Additional Developments 34
Competitive Landscape 36
Table: Table: Key Players - Uganda Telecoms Sector 36
Table: Mobile Market Overview 36
Table: MTN 37
Table: UTL 37
Table: Airtel 37
Table: Africel 38
Table: Total Internet Subscriptions 38
Table: Fixed Line Subscribers 38
Company Profile 39
MTN Uganda 39
Uganda Telecom 43
Demographic Forecast 47
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Uganda 1990-2025) 48
Table: Key Population Ratios (Uganda 1990-2025) 48
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Uganda 1990-2025) 49
Table: Population By Age Group (Uganda 1990-2025) 49
Table: Population By Age Group % (Uganda 1990-2025) 50
Glossary 52
Table: Glossary Of Terms 52
Methodology 54
Industry Forecast Methodology 54
Sources 56
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 56
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 57
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 58

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