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Egypt Tourism Report Q4 2015

  • September 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 60 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We are forecasting a tentative recovery in Egypt's tourism market in 2015, with arrivals set toincrease over the next few years following the sharp falls seen in 2011 and 2013. Key to our growthforecasts is an improvement in the security situation on the ground, with recent car bombings in Cairo andattacks on tourist attractions around the country likely to deter potential visitors. Should security bemaintained, Egypt's tourism industry offers enormous long-term growth potential.Egypt's tourism market is well established as the country has long been a popular destination for travellersfrom European markets, particularly in the package holiday sector. As a result, the hotel andaccommodation industry is very well developed in Red Sea coastal areas and in the capital Cairo.

As well asbeach tourism, Egypt also offers an enormous range of historical and cultural attractions, with sevenUNESCO World Heritage Sites as well as numerous museums and other cultural and religious sites. Whilethe country therefore has a lot to offer tourists, the tourism industry is being held back by the weak securitysituation at present, with the rise of Islamic State activities in Egypt a major cause for concern.

Table Of Contents

Egypt Tourism Report Q4 2015
BMI Industry View 7
Tourism 9
Political 11
Economic 12
Operational Risk 14
Industry Forecast 16
Inbound Tourism 17
Table: Inbound Tourism (Egypt 2012-2019) 18
Table: Egypt Inbound Tourism, Top 10 Markets By Arrivals ('000), 2012-2019 19
Outbound Tourism 20
Table: Outbound Tourism (Egypt 2012-2019) 20
Table: Egypt Outbound Tourism, Top 10 Destinations By Departures ('000), 2012-2019 22
Travel 22
Table: Receipts for Transport and Travel (Egypt 2012-2019) 23
Table: Breakdown of Methods of Tourist Travel (Egypt 2012-2019) 24
Hotels 25
Table: Hotel Accommodation (Egypt 2012-2019) 25
Table: Hotels and Restaurants Industry Value (Egypt 2012-2019) 26
Industry Risk/Reward Index 28
Tourism Risk/Reward Index 28
Table: Middle East and North Africa Tourism Industry Risk/Reward Index 28
Security Risk 29
Market Overview 32
Competitive Landscape 37
Domestic Hotel Groups 37
International Hotel Groups 39
Global Industry Overview 41
Table: Global Tourism Market - Key Themes 41
Global Assumptions 43
Global Macro Outlook 43
Table: Global Forecasts, 2014-2019 44
Table: Global And Regional Real GDP Growth, 2014-2017 (% change y-o-y) 45
Developed States 46
Table: Developed States, Real GDP Growth Forecasts, 2014-2017 47
Emerging Markets 48
Table: Emerging Markets, Real GDP Growth Forecasts, 2014-2017 49
Table: BMI Versus Bloomberg Consensus Real GDP Growth Forecasts, 2015 And 2016 (%) 51
Demographic Forecast 52
Demographic Outlook 52
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Egypt 1990-2025) 53
Table: Key Population Ratios (Egypt 1990-2025) 53
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Egypt 1990-2025) 54
Table: Population By Age Group (Egypt 1990-2025) 54
Table: Population By Age Group % (Egypt 1990-2025) 55
Methodology 57
Industry Forecast Methodology 57
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 58
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 60

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