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Singapore Real Estate Report Q4 2014

  • October 2014
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 79 pages

BMI View:
The Singaporean commercial real estate market is experiencing a slowdown in growth as the market adapts to a set of changing market conditions, including a higher interest rate environment and ongoing structural changes in the country's economy. That said, the market offers some of the strongest fundamentals of any real estate sector in the Asia Pacific region, a fact attested to by its continued ability to attract high volumes of foreign direct investment (FDI).

Demand remains strong in retail real estate, and although we do see some potential in the short term for declines in office rental rates, in the longer term the sub-sector will remain supported by strong demand from local and international businesses alike. Likewise, we see long-term strength in the industrial real estate market, with growing demand for high quality space.

Table Of Contents

Singapore Real Estate Report Q4 2014
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT .. 9
Political 11
Economic . 12
Business Environment 13
Industry Forecast .. 14
Office .. 17
Table: Forecast Office Rents, 2014-2015 (USD per square metre per month) 17
Table: Short-Term Forecast Office Yields, 2014-2015 (%) 17
Retail .. 18
Table: Forecast Retail Rents, 2014-2015 (USD per sq m per month) . . 18
Table: Short-Term Forecast Retail Yields, 2014-2015 (%) 19
Industrial 20
Table: Forecast Industrial Rents, 2014-2015 (USD per sq m per month) . . 20
Table: Short-Term Forecast Industrial Net Yields, 2014-2015 (%) 21
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario . 22
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Singapore 2012-2017) . . . 22
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Singapore 2018-2023) . . . 23
Table: Factbox - Key Milestones In Singapore's Infrastructure Masterplan . . . 29
Macroeconomic Forecasts .. 30
Economic Analysis . 30
Labour Restructuring A Notable Headwind . 31
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 33
Asia - Risk/Reward Ratings .. 33
Table: Asia - Real Estate Risk/Reward Ratings 33
Singapore - Risk/Reward Ratings . 34
Rewards . 34
Risks 34
Market Overview 36
Office 39
Table: Historical Rental Costs, 2013-2014 (USD per square metre per month) . . . 39
Table: Net Yields, 2012-2013 (%) . . 40
Table: Terms Of Rental Contract/Lease, H213 . 41
Retail 41
Table: Historical Rental Costs, 2012-2014 (USD per square metre per month) . . . 43
Table: Net Yields, 2012-2014 (%) . . 43
Table: Terms Of Rental Contract/Lease, H213 . 44
Industrial . 44
Table: Historical Rental Costs, 2012-2014 (USD per square metre month) . . . 46
Table: Historical Net Yields, 2012-2014 (%) . . . 47
Table: Terms Of Rental Contract/Leases, H213 47
Competitive Landscape . 48
Office .. 50
Retail .. 52
Industrial 52
Other REITs And Real Estate Firms .. 53
Company Profile . 55
CapitaLand . 55
City Developments Limited (CDL) .. 59
Dragages Singapore . 62
Keppel Land 64
Singapore Land (SingLand) .. 67
UOL Group . 69
Demographic Forecast .. 71
Table: Singapore's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) . . 72
Table: Singapore's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 73
Table: Singapore's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 74
Table: Singapore's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 . 74
Methodology . 75
Industry Forecast Methodology . 75
Sources .. 76
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 77
Table: Real Estate Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators 78
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 79

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