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China Tourism Report Q4 2016

  • July 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 48 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: China's tourism industry is growing rapidly and we are seeing major investment in travel andaccommodation infrastructure from both domestic and international developers who are keen to takeadvantage of growth potential, improving the accessibility of the market and expanding the range of hoteloptions on offer. Much of the potential growth will be based upon China's large domestic market as theinternational inbound tourism market has an increasingly mixed outlook: while some source markets willsee growth over the medium term, rising economic uncertainty in European source markets and escalatingregional territorial disputes could dampen arrivals. The huge size of the domestic market does somewhatoffset this risk and overall China's tourism industry will remain a popular investment destination.

Key Updates And Forecasts

- Declines in key international source markets, including a potential downturn in many European marketsfrom the UK's EU referendum results, will impact upon China's inbound travel market over the mediumterm. We have revised our forecasts this quarter to show a slow decline in arrivals to 24.3mn in 2020,though we note visitors from some key markets, such as South Korea, will continue to grow.

- China's range of attractions continues to expand. In June 2016 the gates were opened to the country's firstDisneyland at Shanghai, built at an estimated cost of USD5.5bn. Disney is reportedly consideringbuilding a second park in China, in the central area of the western region. Competing with Disneyland isthe 200 acre Nanchang Wanda Park, which opened in May 2016.

- As well as planned investments in new airport infrastructure, China continues to broaden the reach of airtravel with a number of new flight routes announced including those of China Eastern Airlines whichlaunched three new routes to European destinations in June 2016 and Air China which has expanded itsrange of flights to North America.

Table Of Contents

China Tourism Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Key Forecasts (China 2013-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Tourism 9
Industry Forecast 11
Table: Inbound Tourism (China 2013-2020) 15
Table: Tourism Receipts (China 2013-2020) 17
Table: Hotel Accommodation (China 2013-2020) 19
Table: Tourist Departures and Consumption (China 2013-2020) 20
Industry Risk/Reward Index 21
Table: Asia Tourism Risk/Reward Index 21
Rewards 22
Risks 22
Security Risk 23
Market Overview 24
Competitive Landscape 31
Domestic Hotel Groups 31
Table: Domestic Hotel Groups 31
International Hotel Groups 32
Table: International Hotel Groups 32
13th Five-Year Plan 34
13th Five-Year Plan: Key Points 34
Summary Of Contents 34
Chapter 1: Overview 35
Table: Targets 35
Chapter 2: Innovation To Drive Development 36
Chapter 3: Economic Institutions 37
Chapter 4: Modernisation Of The Agricultural Sector 38
Chapter 5: Industries 39
Chapter 6: Expand The Network Economy 40
Chapter 7: Build A Modern Infrastructure Network 40
Chapter 8: New-Type Urbanisation 41
Chapter 9: Coordination Of Regional Development 42
Chapter 10: Environmental Protection 43
Chapter 11: Continue Opening Up 43
Others: 43
Methodology 45
Industry Forecast Methodology 45
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 46
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 48

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