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Belarus Food and Drink Report Q4 2015

  • September 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 109 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The Belarusian food and drink market will suffer from the worsening economic situation as thecountry is expected to slide into recession in 2015. Household consumption will remain constrained due tothe effects of the ruble devaluation, limited wage growth and rampant inflation. Over the longer term, foodconsumption growth will be led by rising disposable incomes on the back of an increase in GDP per capitaand the expected expansion of the mass grocery retail (MGR) sector.

Headline Industry Data

- Food consumption value (local currency) growth year-on-year (y-o-y) in 2015: +16.6%; compoundannual growth rate (CAGR) 2014-2019: +19.1%.
- Per capita food consumption value (local currency) growth (y-o-y) in 2015: +17.2%; CAGR 2014-2019:+19.7%.
- Alcoholic drinks value (local currency) sales growth (y-o-y) in 2015: +29.1%; CAGR 2014-2019:+21.8%.
- Alcoholic drinks volume sales (litres) growth (y-o-y) in 2015: +6.4%; CAGR 2014-2019: +3.5%.
- Soft drinks volume sales (litres) growth (y-o-y) in 2015: +4.0%; CAGR 2014-2019: +4.4%.

Table Of Contents

Belarus Food and Drink Report Q4 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Food 9
Drink 11
Mass Grocery Retail 13
Industry Forecast 15
Consumer Outlook 15
Food 17
Food Consumption 17
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Belarus 2012-2019) 19
Confectionery 19
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Belarus 2012-2019) 20
Meat And Fish 20
Table: Fish Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Belarus 2012-2019) 21
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Belarus 2012-2019) 22
Pasta 23
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Belarus 2012-2019) 23
Snack Foods 24
Table: Sweet Biscuits Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Belarus 2012-2019) 24
Table: Jams and Jellies Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Belarus 2012-2019) 26
Oils And Fats 26
Table: Oils And Fats Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Belarus 2012-2019) 26
Frozen Fruit And Vegetables 27
Table: Frozen Fruit And Vegetables Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Belarus 2012-2019) 27
Dairy 28
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Belarus 2012-2019) 29
Drink 30
Alcoholic Drinks 30
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Belarus 2012-2019) 31
Soft Drinks 32
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production and Trade (Belarus 2012-2019) 33
Hot Drinks 34
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Belarus 2012-2019) 34
Mass Grocery Retail 35
Trade 36
Table: Trade Balance - Historical Data and Forecasts (Belarus 2012-2019) 37
Macroeconomic Forecast 38
Economic Analysis 38
Table: GDP Contribution To Growth (Belarus 2012-2020) 42
Industry Risk Reward Index 43
Central And Eastern Europe - Risk/Reward Index 43
Table: Central and Eastern Europe Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Q415 44
Belarus Risk/Reward Index 48
Market Overview 49
Food 49
Food Consumption 49
Food Processing 49
Confectionery 50
Agriculture 50
Drink 51
Mass Grocery Retail 54
Industry Trends And Developments 56
Food 56
Key Industry Trends And Developments 56
Drink 59
Key Industry Trends And Developments 59
Mass Grocery Retail 60
Key Industry Trends And Developments 60
Competitive Landscape 62
Table: Key Players In Belarus's Food Sector 62
Table: Key Players In Belarus's Drink Sector 63
Table: Key Players In Belarus's Mass Grocery Retail Industry 64
Company Profile 65
Bellakt 65
Euroopt 67
Kraft Foods 70
Krinitsa 72
PepsiCo 75
Triple Group 77
Vester 78
Global Industry Overview 80
Table: Australia, Uk And Usa Estimated Herfindahl-Hirschman Index Scores - Food Retail Industry 83
Table: Boston Beer Company, Ab Inbev, Heineken And Sabmiller - Selected Trailing Return And Efficiency Ratios 91
Table: Food and Drink Core Views - Q215 Roundup 96
Demographic Forecast 98
Demographic Outlook 98
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Belarus 1990-2025) 99
Table: Key Population Ratios (Belarus 1990-2025) 99
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Belarus 1990-2025) 100
Table: Population By Age Group (Belarus 1990-2025) 100
Table: Population By Age Group % (Belarus 1990-2025) 101
Glossary 103
Food and Drink 103
Mass Grocery Retail 103
Methodology 105
Industry Forecast Methodology 105
Sector-Specific Methodology 106
Sources 106
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 107
Table: Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators 108
Table: Weighting 109

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