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Romania Telecommunications Report Q4 2015

  • September 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 75 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Despite lacklustre growth in the mobile market, BMI believes that Romania will be one of thebest performers in the region when it comes to 3G/4G usage. BMI believes that the Romanian regulator islikely to make further spectrum available for the development of LTE services, which should boost 3G/4Guptake further. Romania's 3G/4G market will grow to be one of the most highly penetrated in Central andEmerging Europe by 2019 and this will lead to opportunities potential for value-added services.Consolidation has been the key trend in the wireline market over this same period, as the smaller, localplayers are acquired by the national operators.

Key Data

- The Romanian mobile market supported 27.685mn subscriptions at the end of 2014, an increase of just0.2% y-o-y. Inactive subscriptions are being shed as operators look to increase the quality of their userbases. We expect modest growth through to 2019, yielding a total market of 28.305mn. Meanwhile,mobile ARPUs will decline as a result of downward pressure brought about through price competitionand mobile termination rate cuts.

- Digi, the smallest operator by subscribers in Romania, ported the most amount of subscribers betweenJanuary and April 2015, at 96,572 users, compared to Vodafone (46,754 incoming ports),Orange Romania (33,060) and Telekom Romania (21,969).

Table Of Contents

Romania Telecommunications Report Q4 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Political 11
Economic 12
Operational Risk 13
Industry Forecast 15
Romania - Q4 2015 15
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Romania 2012-2019) 15
Mobile 15
ARPU 17
Fixed-Line 19
Broadband 19
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 22
Industry Risk Reward Index 22
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Telecoms Risk/Rewards Index, Q4 2015 24
Market Overview 26
Regional Perspective 26
Table: Romania Mobile Market Regional Comparisons, 2014 27
Key Developments 27
Market Growth 27
Market Shares 28
Table: Net Additions ('000), Q113-Q115 29
Subscription Mix 30
Usage (ARPU/MOU) 31
Networks 32
Mobile Content/Value-Added Services 33
Table: Total Market Romania 34
Regulatory Development 37
Regulatory Overview 37
Table: Regulatory Body Responsibilities 37
Regulatory Development 39
Competitive Landscape 44
Table: Key Players in the Romanian Telecoms Markets 44
Table: Selected Operators Financial Indicators, 2008-2014, (USDmn) 44
Mobile Operator Data 45
Table: Total Market Romania 45
Table: Orange 45
Table: Vodafone 46
Table: Cosmote 47
Company Profile 48
Telekom Romania 48
Cosmote Romania 52
Vodafone Romania 56
Orange Romania 60
Demographic Forecast 64
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Romania 1990-2025) 65
Table: Key Population Ratios (Romania 1990-2025) 65
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Romania 1990-2025) 66
Table: Population By Age Group (Romania 1990-2025) 66
Table: Population By Age Group % (Romania 1990-2025) 67
Glossary 69
Table: Glossary Of Terms 69
Methodology 71
Industry Forecast Methodology 71
Sources 73
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 73
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 74
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 75

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