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  4. > South Africa Mining Report Q4 2016

South Africa Mining Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 83 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

South Africa's mining sector will face persistent headwinds due to labour unrest, mineral price weakness, further divestments and retrenchment.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends


- Coal: On August 29 2016, Coal India approved signing of a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with the South Africa government-controlled African Exploration Mining and Finance Corporation. Areas of collaboration include identification, acquisition, exploration, development and operation of coal assets in South Africa. This confirms our long held view of increasing Indian investment into South Africa's coal sector.

- Gold: We have raised our gold price forecasts for 2016 to USD1,275 per ounce (/oz) from USD1,150/oz. A recalibration of expectations for the global monetary policy trajectory by investors and equity market turmoil has combined to create a more positive environment for gold prices than we previously anticipated.

Table Of Contents

South Africa Mining Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: South Africa Mining Industry Value Forecast 7
Latest Updates And Structural Trends 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Coal: Modest Recovery Post-2016 10
Latest Updates 10
Table: Coal Production Forecast (South Africa 2014-2020) 10
Table: South Africa - Major Coal Projects and Expansions 11
Structural Trends 11
Gold: Subdued Growth Due To Headwinds 17
Latest Updates 17
Table: Gold Production Forecast (South Africa 2014-2020) 17
Structural Trends 18
Iron Ore: Headwinds Remain 23
Latest Updates 24
Table: Iron Ore Production Forecast (South Africa 2014-2020) 24
Table: South Africa - Major New Iron Ore Projects and Expansions 25
Structural Trends 25
Platinum: Downturn In Coming Years 27
Latest Updates 27
Table: South Africa - Platinum Mine Production and Growth 27
Structural Trends 28
Palladium: Subdued Growth Due To Lower Prices 36
Latest Updates 36
Table: Palladium Production (South Africa 2014-2020) 36
Table: South Africa - Palladium Projects 36
Structural Trends 37
Industry Risk Reward Index 40
South Africa Risk/Reward Index 40
Rewards 40
Risks 40
Africa - Risk/Reward Index 41
Key Takeaways 41
Latest Revisions 42
Table: Africa - Mining Risk/Reward Indices 43
Regulatory Development 44
Trade and Investment Risk Analysis 44
Commodities Outlook 48
Commodities Forecasts 48
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts 48
Competitive Landscape 50
Table: South Africa - Largest Mining Companies' Financial Data 51
Company Profile 52
Anglo American 52
Table: Select Commodities - Price Forecasts 53
Table: Anglo American - Key Projects 57
Table: Anglo American - Financial Data 59
Global Company Strategy - Impala Platinum - Q3 2016 60
Company Strategy 62
Table: Impala Platinum - Key Financial Data 64
Global Company Strategy - AngloGold Ashanti - Q4 2016 65
Table: Gold Price Forecast 67
Company Strategy 69
Table: AngloGold Ashanti - Key Financial Data 71
Regional Overview 72
Sub-Saharan Africa Overview 72
Table: SSA - Government Involvement In Mining Sector 78
Methodology 80
Industry Forecast Methodology 80
Sources 81
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 82
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 83

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