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  4. > Colombia Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

Colombia Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

  • September 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 90 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

Colombia's agribusiness sector is being held back by a number of deep structural challengesincluding the lingering consequences of internal armed conflict, structural inefficiencies, lowcompetitiveness and poor policy choices. As a result, area cultivated and yields have stagnated over thepast decade. However, after several decades of disappointing growth in Colombia's agribusiness sector, theoutlook for production and exports is brightening. The efforts made to resolve the conflict, coupled with thepotential for upcoming agricultural reforms, have paved the way for the revival of Colombia's agribusiness.The coffee, fruits, sugar, palm oil and horticulture sectors offer the best opportunities. Colombianagriculture enjoys a large diversity thanks to abundant natural resources and diverse climates andtopography. Although FTAs may undermine the livestock and dairy sectors, they also provide Colombiawith large export markets. The US and EU, which are the main markets for Colombian agriculturalproducts, will see their imports grow in the coming years with the decrease in tariffs.

Key Forecasts


- Palm oil production growth to 2019/20: 46.7% to 1.9mn bags. The palm oil sector will continue togrow at a fast pace, as plantation expansion will be helped by the ongoing pacification of the country andthe government's Plan Siembra.

- Corn consumption growth to 2020: 18.0% to 7.1mn tonnes. Corn consumption will expand at a fasterpace than production over the medium term, boosted by the growth in the livestock sector, especially inthe poultry segment. The domestic corn deficit will reach 4.75mn tonnes by 2018/19, compared with3.95mn tonnes in 2013/14.

Table Of Contents

Colombia Agribusiness Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Industry Forecast 12
Grains Outlook 12
Table: Colombia - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook 12
Table: Colombia - Risks To Grains Outlook 13
Table: Colombia - Select Grains Production and Consumption, 2013-2020f 17
Sugar Outlook 18
Table: Colombia - Sugar Production And Consumption Outlook 18
Table: Colombia - Risks To Sugar Outlook 19
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Colombia 2012-2020) 23
Coffee Outlook 24
Table: Colombia - Coffee Production And Consumption Outlook 25
Table: Colombia - Risks To Coffee Outlook 25
Table: Coffee Production and Consumption (Colombia 2012-2020) 29
Cocoa Outlook 30
Table: Colombia - Cocoa Production And Consumption Outlook 30
Table: Colombia - Risks To Cocoa Outlook 30
Table: Cocoa Production and Consumption (Colombia 2012-2020) 32
Dairy Outlook 33
Table: Colombia - Dairy Production And Consumption Outlook 33
Table: Colombia - Risks To Dairy Outlook 34
Table: Dairy Production and Consumption (Colombia 2012-2020) 37
Livestock Outlook 38
Table: Colombia - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook 38
Table: Colombia - Risks To Livestock Outlook 39
Table: Livestock Production and Consumption (Colombia 2014-2020) 41
Commodities Price Analysis 42
Commodities Price Forecasts 42
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts 42
Featured Analysis 44
New Agricultural Plan Confirms Promising Outlook 44
Table: Agricultural Production and Consumption (Colombia, 2013-2020f) 48
Upstream Analysis 49
Americas GM Outlook 49
Americas Machinery Outlook 57
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (Company-based estimates) 60
Americas Fertiliser Outlook 64
Downstream Analysis 71
Food 71
Latest Updates 71
Structural Trends 72
Table: Food Sales (Colombia 2013-2020) 74
Regional Overview 77
Competitive Landscape 83
Table: Key Agribusiness Players 83
Demographic Forecast 84
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Colombia 1990-2025) 85
Table: Key Population Ratios (Colombia 1990-2025) 85
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Colombia 1990-2025) 86
Table: Population By Age Group (Colombia 1990-2025) 86
Table: Population By Age Group % (Colombia 1990-2025) 87
Methodology 89
Industry Forecast Methodology 89
Sector-Specific Methodology 90

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