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Germany Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 70 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:
We have made some minor forecast revisions for the German agricultural sector in our Q4 2016 report update. BMI is of the view that the German agricultural system benefits from high levels of competitiveness, strong infrastructure and a very good farming industry knowhow. In the livestock sector, pork producers will be under pressure due to strained relations with Russia. Poultry production will continue to be the outperformer. Sugar and milk production will expand due to the removal of quotas. Over the short-term, the unexpected decline in milk prices due to the removal of the quota and lower demand from export markets is hurting smaller dairy farmers, a situation that Berlin has vowed to address promptly by offering subsidies and considering a temporary dairy production quota to help stabilise national milk prices. Grain production yields will be healthy over 2015/16 and beyond.
Key Forecasts


- Corn consumption will grow by a healthy 3.5% in 2015/16 to reach 1.07mn tonnes.

- Poultry production will grow by 2.2% in 2015/16 to reach 1.64mn tonnes.

- We are estimating wheat production to decline by 3.7% in 2015/16 to reach 25.57mn tonnes.

- Sugar beet production will track upwards, growing to approximately 26.3mn tonnes, representing a 0.4% y-o-y growth.

Table Of Contents

Germany Agribusiness Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Agribusiness 10
Industry Forecast 12
Sugar Outlook 12
Latest Updates 12
Table: Germany - Sugar Production and Consumption Outlook 12
Table: Risks To Outlook 13
Structural Trends 13
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Germany 2013-2020) 16
Grains Outlook 17
Latest Updates 17
Table: Germany - Grains Production and Consumption Outlook 17
Table: Risks To Outlook 18
Structural Trends 18
Table: Grains Production and Consumption (Germany 2013-2020) 21
Dairy Outlook 22
Latest Updates 22
Table: Germany - Dairy Production and Consumption Outlook 23
Table: Risks To Outlook 24
Structural Trends 24
Table: Dairy Production and Consumption (Germany Historical Data and Forecasts) 26
Livestock Outlook 27
Latest Updates 27
Table: Germany - Livestock Production and Consumption Outlook 27
Table: Risks To Outlook 28
Structural Trends 29
Table: CAP Payments 32
Table: Livestock Production and Consumption (Germany Historical Data and Forecasts) 32
Commodities Price Analysis 34
Global - Global Commodities Strategy 34
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts 34
Upstream Analysis 36
Europe GM Outlook 36
Europe Machinery Outlook 42
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (company-based estimates) 45
Europe Fertiliser Outlook 48
Downstream Analysis 54
Food 54
Latest Updates 54
Structural Trends 55
Table: Food Sales (Germany 2013-2020) 55
Regional Overview 57
Europe Regional Overview 57
Competitive Landscape 63
Table: Germany - Key Agribusiness Players 63
Demographic Forecast 64
Demographic Outlook 64
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Germany 1990-2025) 65
Table: Key Population Ratios (Germany 1990-2025) 65
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Germany 1990-2025) 66
Table: Population By Age Group (Germany 1990-2025) 66
Table: Population By Age Group % (Germany 1990-2025) 67
Methodology 69
Industry Forecast Methodology 69
Sector-Specific Methodology 70

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