Mobile VoIP—Transforming the Future of Wireless Voice
Report Summary :
Mobile VoIP is likely to dramatically alter mobile communications landscapes, as geographic boundaries disappear, “free” becomes the new price, and users demand richer communications experiences. Today, online mobile VoIP offerings predominate. But mobile operators and WiMAX providers are exploring the potential, with mobile VoIP clearly in their long-term evolution plans.
This report includes the following:
- Definition of mobile VoIP covering the broad range of options for leveraging the technology both today and into the future.
-Segmentation of mobile VoIP players and discussion of current offerings and future directions covering a broad spectrum including companies, like JAJAH, Skype, Zer01 Mobile, Clearwire, and T-Mobile.
- Discussion of mobile industry attempts to thwart the spread of online mobile VoIP providers, like Google and Skype.
- Analysis focused on understanding the disruptive nature of mobile VoIP and its potential impact on mobile industry directions.
- Five-year regional forecasts for users, usage, and revenues in three distinct market segments, online mobile VoIP providers, 3G MVNO/operators, and LTE/WiMAX operators.
Highlights:
- Mobile VoIP is moving beyond simply a new mechanism for international bypass services.
- A second early application integrates mobile VoIP into a unified mobile interface to social networking sites.
- And both 3G and WiMAX operators are starting to move forward with their own plans for harnessing mobile VoIP.
- But, mobile operators’ attempts to slow the spread of online mobile VoIP are backfiring, bringing unwanted regulatory scrutiny to alleged anticompetitive practices.
- Activities associated with early mobile VoIP successes are likely to influence LTE operator voice plans in ways that potentially favor IMS.
- By 2013, mobile VoIP users worldwide will rise to 287 million, generating annual revenues of $35.2 billion.
Table of Contents
Executive Summary.1
What is Mobile VoIP and Why Is It Important?........4
Mobile VoIP Implementation Strategies..4
Competing Voice-on-LTE Solutions........7
Our Mobile VoIP Approach .........7
Current Mobile VoIP Offerings.........8
Mobile VoIP Start-Ups.....8
Defi Mobile ......8
Fring ....9
JAJAH .9
Nimbuzz ..........9
Vopium ..........11
Yeigo .11
VoIP Providers ..12
Skype 12
Google...........13
Vyke ..13
Freshtel Holdings ......14
MVNO/MVNE ....14
Zer01 Communications.........14
Truphone.......15
WiMAX Providers ..........16
Scartel ...........16
Clearwire .......16
KT Networks..17
Mobile Operators...........17
T-Mobile ........17
Cincinnati Bell ...........18
Rogers Wireless........18
Orange ..........19
Mobile Operators and Their Allies React...20
In the US, App Stores Stir Up Controversy.......20
Court Fights Change European Attitudes .........21
Mobile VoIP Banned in Other Parts of the
World.....22
Prognosis for the Future ....24
Does Voice Have Boundaries? .24
Is Voice “Free”?.25
Voice or a Richer Communications
Experience? ......25
Who Controls the Device? ........26
So What Does This Mean? .......27
Mobile VoIP Forecast ........29
Factors Influencing the Mobile VoIP Forecast ..29
Mobile VoIP Forecasts Through 2013 ..32
Mobile VoIP by Geography38
North America ...38
EMEA ....39
Asia/Pacific........40
Rest of the World ..........41
Worldwide..........42
Methodology ..........43
Glossary.....44
List of Tables .........46
List of Figures ........47
Related In-Stat Reports .....48
List of Tables
Table 1. WiMAX and LTE as a Percentage of Total Mobile Services Subscribers, by Region, 2007–2013..... 31
Table 2. Forecast of Users Associated With Online Mobile VoIP Offerings, by Region, 2007–2013 (Users in Thousands) . 32
Table 3. Forecast of Annual Usage Associated With Independent Mobile VoIP Services, by Region,
2007–2013 (Minutes in Billions)........... 32
Table 4. Forecast of Annual Revenues Associated With Online Mobile VoIP Services, by Region,
2007–2013 (US$ in Millions).... 33
Table 5. Forecast of 3G Subscribers Using Mobile VoIP-Based Services, by Region, 2007–2013...... 33
Table 6. Forecast of Annual Usage Associate With 3G-Based Mobile VoIP Offerings, by Region,
2007–2013 (Minutes in Billions)........... 34
Table 7. Forecast of Annual Revenues Associated With 3G-Based Mobile VoIP Offerings, by Region,
2007–2013 (US$ in Millions).... 34
Table 8. Forecast of Users Associated With WiMAX/LTE Mobile VoIP Offerings, by Region, 2007–2013 (Users in Thousands).. 35
Table 9. Forecast of Annual Mobile VoIP Usage Associated With WiMAX/LTE Deployments, by Region, 2007–2013 (Minutes in Billions)........... 35
Table 10. Forecast of Annual Revenues Associated With WiMAX/LTE Deployments, by Region,
2007–2013 (US$ in Millions).... 35
Table 11. Forecast of Total Mobile VoIP Users, by Region, 2007–2013 (Users in Thousands) . 36
Table 12. Forecast of Total Mobile VoIP Annual Usage by Region, 2007–2013 (Minutes in Billions) .... 36
Table 13. Forecast of Total Annual VoIP-Related Revenues, by Region, 2007–2013 (US$ in Millions) 37
Table 14. Forecast of North American Mobile VoIP Users, 2007–2013 (Users in Thousands) .. 38
Table 15. Forecast of North American Mobile VoIP Annual Usage 2007–2013 (Minutes in Billions) ..... 38
Table 16. Forecast of North American Annual VoIP-Related Revenues, 2007–2013 (US$ in Millions) . 38
Table 17. Forecast of EMEA Mobile VoIP Users, 2007–2013 (Users in Thousands) ..... 39
Table 18. Forecast of EMEA Mobile VoIP Annual Usage 2007–2013 (Minutes in Billions) ........ 39
Table 19. Forecast of EMEA Annual VoIP-Related Revenues, 2007–2013 (US$ in Millions) .... 39
Table 20. Forecast of Asia/Pacific Mobile VoIP Users, 2007–2013 (Users in Thousands)......... 40
Table 21. Forecast of Asia/Pacific Mobile VoIP Annual Usage 2007–2013 (Minutes in Billions) 40
Table 22. Forecast of Asia/Pacific Annual VoIP-Related Revenues, 2007–2013 (US$ in Millions)........ 40
Table 23. Forecast of ROW Mobile VoIP Users, 2007–2013 (Users in Thousands)....... 41
Table 24. Forecast of ROW Mobile VoIP Annual Usage 2007–2013 (Minutes in Billions).......... 41
Table 25. Forecast of ROW Annual VoIP-Related Revenues, 2007–2013 (US$ in Millions)...... 41
Table 26. Forecast of Worldwide Mobile VoIP Users, 2007–2013 (Users in Thousands)........... 42
Table 27. Forecast of Worldwide Mobile VoIP Annual Usage 2007–2013 (Minutes in Billions) . 42
Table 28. Forecast of Worldwide Annual VoIP-Related Revenues, 2007–2013 (US$ in Millions).......... 42
List of Figures
Figure 1. Forecast for Mobile VoIP Associated Revenue, 2007–2013 (US$ in Millions).............. 2
Figure 2. Mobile VoIP Changes the Cost Structure of International Bypass ........ 5
Figure 3. Unlicensed Mobile Access (UMA) Uses Mobile VoIP on Wi-Fi vs. Femtocells Which Require 3G Frequencies ...... 6
Figure 4. The Nimbuzz User Interface Combines Buddies From Multiple Social Networking Sites....... 10
Figure 5. Distribution of Skype Users Worldwide as of March 2009....... 12
Figure 6. AT&T Quarterly Wireless Voice and Data Revenues, 3Q07 to 2Q09 (US$ in Millions) .......... 20
Figure 7. Dual-Mode Handset Shipments as a Percentage of Total Mobile Handset Shipments, by Region, 2007–2013....... 29
Figure 8. Shipments of Dual-Mode Handsets, PMPs With Wi-Fi, and Wi-Fi Handheld Games, 2007–2013 (Units in Thousands) .... 30
Figure 9. 3G Subscribers as a Percentage of Total Mobile Operator Subscribers, by Region, 2007–2013 ...... 31
