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Bahrain Oil and Gas Report Q4 2015

  • September 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 107 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Despite limited success in boosting oil and gas production from the Bahrain field, the keydevelopment for the country will be the refining capacity expansion at the kingdom's centrepiece Sitrarefinery. However, delays to the expansion will result in a continuation of fuel export declines and awidening of the country's fiscal deficit until 2020. This marks a two-year delayto our previous forecast which saw increasing fuel exports from 2018.

We highlight the following trends and developments in Bahrain's oil and gas sector:

- Redevelopment work (new wells, enhanced oil recovery and improved oil recovery) undertaken at theBahrain field are boosting oil production at the mature field. While we expect some success, the lowpermeability of the heavy oil reservoirs, among other issues, have led us to anticipate delays. We havenot yet included all volumes projected by the project.

Table Of Contents

Bahrain Oil and Gas Report Q4 2015
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Bahrain 2013-2019) 7
SWOT 9
Oil and Gas SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 10
Upstream Exploration 10
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Bahrain 2013-2018) 10
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Bahrain 2019-2024) 10
Upstream Production - Oil 12
Table: Oil Production (Bahrain 2013-2018) 12
Table: Oil Production (Bahrain 2019-2024) 12
Upstream Production - Gas 15
Table: Gas Production (Bahrain 2013-2018) 15
Table: Gas Production (Bahrain 2019-2024) 15
Refining 18
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Bahrain 2013-2018) 18
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Bahrain 2019-2024) 18
Refined Fuels Consumption 24
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Bahrain 2013-2018) 24
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Bahrain 2019-2024) 24
Gas Consumption 28
Table: Gas Consumption (Bahrain 2013-2018) 28
Table: Gas Consumption (Bahrain 2019-2024) 28
Trade - Oil 31
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Bahrain 2013-2018) 31
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Bahrain 2019-2024) 31
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Bahrain 2013-2018) 33
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Bahrain 2019-2024) 33
Table: Total Net Oil Exports - Crude and Products (Bahrain 2013-2018) 35
Table: Total Net Oil Exports - Crude and Products (Bahrain 2019-2024) 35
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 36
Table: Gas Net Exports (Bahrain 2013-2018) 36
Table: Gas Net Exports (Bahrain 2019-2024) 36
Industry Risk Reward Index 39
Middle East Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 39
Table: BMI's Middle East Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index (RRI) 39
Middle East Index Resilient In Lower Price Environment 40
Table: Middle East Upstream Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 40
Limited Opportunities Downstream 42
Table: Middle East Downstream Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 42
Bahrain - Risk/Reward Index 44
Market Overview 46
Bahrain Energy Market Overview 46
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 49
Oil Refineries 49
Table: Refineries In Bahrain 50
Oil Storage Facilities 51
Service Stations 51
Oil Pipelines 51
Gas Pipelines 52
Competitive Landscape 53
Competitive Landscape Summary 53
Table: Key Domestic And Foreign Companies In The Bahrain Oil and Gas Sector 54
Table: Key Upstream Players 54
Table: Key Downstream Players 54
Company Profile 55
Bahrain National Gas Company 55
Bahrain Petroleum Company 58
Chevron Bahrain 61
Occidental Petroleum 63
Other Summaries 66
Regional Overview 67
Middle East Oil and Gas Regional Overview 67
Oil Production - Low Production Costs Support Expansion 67
Oil Consumption - Downstream Expansion, Subsidies Drive Demand 69
Refining Capacity - Outcompeting With Advanced Mega Refineries 70
Gas Production - More Gas Needed 71
Gas Consumption - Gas Switch Boosting Demand 73
Global Industry Overview 75
Global Energy Market Overview 75
Table: Top 10 Global Oil Producers - Crude Oil, Condensates and NGLs Production ('000b/d) 75
Table: Oil Production Growth 2015-2024* ('000b/d) 78
Table: Oil Production Growth 2015-2024* ('000b/d) 79
Appendix 81
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-Year Forecasts 81
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2013-2018) 81
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2019-2024) 82
Middle East - Regional Appendix 83
Table: Oil Consumption - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 ('000b/d) 83
Table: Oil Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 ('000b/d) 84
Table: Oil Production - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 ('000b/d) 84
Table: Oil Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 ('000b/d) 85
Table: Refining Capacity - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 ('000b/d) 86
Table: Refining Capacity - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 ('000b/d) 86
Table: Gas Consumption - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 (bcm) 87
Table: Gas Consumption, 2016-2024 (bcm) 87
Table: Gas Production - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 (bcm) 88
Table: Gas Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 (bcm) 89
Table: Net LNG Exports - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 (bcm) 89
Table: Net LNG Exports - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 (bcm) 90
Bahrain - Total Hydrocarbons, 10-Year Forecasts 91
Table: Total Hydrocarbons Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Bahrain 2013-2018) 91
Table: Total Hydrocarbons Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Bahrain 2019-2024) 91
Bahrain - Refined Products Breakdown, 10-Year Forecasts 92
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown (Bahrain 2013-2018) 92
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown (Bahrain 2019-2024) 93
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown (Bahrain 2013-2018) 94
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown (Bahrain 2019-2024) 95
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown (Bahrain 2013-2018) 97
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown (Bahrain 2019-2024) 97
Table: LPG Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Bahrain 2013-2018) 98
Table: LPG Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Bahrain 2019-2024) 99
Glossary 100
Table: Glossary Of Terms 100
Methodology 102
Industry Forecast Methodology 102
Source 104
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 104
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 106
Table: Weighting 107

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