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China Power Report Q4 2015

  • October 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 79 pages

BMI View: The Chinese government's commitment to reducing coal use and tackling pollution - combinedwith the slowing economy and subdued power consumption - has prompted us to downwardly revise ourelectricity consumption and coal generation forecasts this quarter. We expect electricity consumption togrow by an annual average of 4.1% between 2015-2024, and coal power generation to decline 3.45% in2015.In terms of fuel mix, conventional thermal sources play a key role and are expected to continue to dominateelectricity generation as many projects under construction or planned will use coal or gas, and as Chineseefforts in prospecting and exploiting conventional oil and gas resources are set to increase.

While othersources of power will play increasingly important roles, China will remain reliant on coal for its powergeneration over the next decade. Energy poverty is a key concern in the country and coal will remain theonly realistic option for providing cheap and abundant energy for the local population over the mediumterm. Yet, rising coal prices are once again a key threat to the profitability of power generation companiesoperating in the domestic segment and Chinese utilities have placed collective pressure on the governmentto moderate proposed restrictions on imported coal, highlighting the difficulties China has in balancing theinterests of its mining and power sectors as growth slows.

Table Of Contents

China Power Report Q4 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 12
China Snapshot 12
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (China 2014-2019) 12
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (China 2019-2024) 12
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 12
China Power Forecast Scenario 13
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 13
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (China 2013-2018) 13
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (China 2019-2024) 14
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (China 2013-2018) 16
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (China 2019-2024) 16
Electricity Consumption 24
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (China 2013-2018) 24
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (China 2019-2024) 24
Transmission and Distribution, Imports and Exports 25
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (China 2013-2018) 25
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (China 2019-2024) 25
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (China 2013-2018) 25
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (China 2019-2024) 26
Industry Risk/Reward Index 28
Asia Power Risk/Reward Index 28
Table: Asia Power Risk/Reward Index (Scores Out Of 100) 33
China Power Risk/Reward Index 34
Rewards 34
Risks 34
Market Overview 36
Key Policies And Market Structure 36
Regulation And Competition 36
Sustainable Energy Policies 38
Pricing 41
China Power Projects Database 43
Table: China Major Projects - Power 43
Competitive Landscape 60
Huaneng Power International 60
China Huaneng Group 61
China Datang Corporation 61
China Huadian Corporation 61
China Guodian Corporation 62
China Power Investment Corporation 62
China Southern Power Grid 63
State Grid Corporation 63
Company Profile 64
Huaneng Power International 64
Regional Overview 67
Shifting Fuel Dynamics In Asia Power 67
Glossary 73
Table: Glossary Of Terms 73
Methodology 74
Methodology And Sources 74
Industry Forecast Methodology 74
Sources 77
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 77
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 78
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 79

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