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Indonesia Power Report Q4 2016

  • September 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 57 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View: Electricity demand is growing rapidly in Indonesia as the country's economy expands and diversifies and the national grid is extended to reach many of the more remote islands and communities. The government has set ambitious targets to rapidly expand domestic electricity capacity and generation over the next five to ten years and has enacted a number of measures to encourage private foreign investment in the power sector. Despite a significant project pipeline which encompasses coal and naturalgas fired thermal plants. and a broad range of renewables we do not expect the country to meet its targets in the current format, falling short as projects are hampered by inefficient management, widespread corruption, lack of financing and lack acquisition barriers.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends
- The solar power sector will receive a boost from the introduction of a feed-in tariff which was approved in July 2016. The total quota is 250MW which is divided between various regions in the country. The
tariff will also vary by region and is dependent on project size, with additional stipulations regarding the use of domestic services and materials.
- In August 2016 Singapore based KS Orka Renewables Pte Ltd announced it had completed the acquisition of a 100% stake in OTP Geothermal Pte Ltd (having purchased Tata Power's 50% share) and will now progress with the development of the 240MW Sorik Merapi Geothermal Power Project in North Sumatra.

Table Of Contents

Indonesia Power Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Indonesia 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Indonesia Snapshot 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Indonesia 2015-2019) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Indonesia 2020-2025) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 10
Indonesia Power Forecast Scenario 11
Thermal Generation And Capacity Forecast 11
Nuclear Generation And Capacity Forecast 13
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast 15
Non-Hydropower Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast 16
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity Forecasts 19
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2014-2019) 19
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2020-2025) 20
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2014-2019) 20
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2020-2025) 22
Electricity Consumption 22
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2014-2019) 23
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2020-2025) 23
Transmission and Distribution 23
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2014-2019) 25
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2020-2025) 25
Industry Risk/Reward Index 26
Asia Power Risk Reward Index 26
Table: Power RRI By Country (Scores Out Of 100) 32
Indonesia Power Risk/Reward Index 33
Rewards 33
Risks 33
Market Overview 35
Key Policies And Market Structure 35
Regulation And Competition 35
Sustainable Energy Policies 36
Pricing 37
Indonesia Power Projects Database 38
Table: Indonesia - Top 10 Projects By Capacity 40
Competitive Landscape 42
Perusahaan Listrik Negara (PLN) 43
Central Java Power 43
Pertamina Geothermal Energy (PGE) 44
Regional Overview 45
Asia (Region) - Coal To Dominate, But Contribution To Slip 45
Table: Bmi's Japan Korea Marker Forecast 49
Glossary 51
Table: Glossary Of Terms 51
Methodology 52
Methodology And Sources 52
Industry Forecast Methodology 52
Sources 55
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 55
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 56
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 57

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