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Ireland Food and Drink Report 2015

  • January 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 123 pages

BMI View:

We expect Ireland to be the eurozone's fastest growing economy for the second consecutive year in 2015. Recent data from the Central Statistics Office (CSO) showed that real GDP growth was 4.9% yearon- year (y-o-y) over the first three quarters of 2014, suggesting growth will meet our 3.5% forecast for the year. We think Ireland's economic recovery has reached escape velocity, expecting the country to continue benefitting from close trade links with the US and UK, which should partially insulate the country from ailing eurozone demand. Steady exports should then translate into a continued improvement in wages and unemployment. Alongside low inflation and recovering consumer confidence, these factors suggest Irish households will begin spending again in 2015, with private consumption set to play a bigger role driving growth.

Headline Industry Data (local currency)

- Total food consumption growth year-on-year (y-o-y) in 2014: +2.7%; compound annual growth rate (CAGR) to 2018: +3.5%
- Per capita food consumption growth y-o-y in 2014: +1.6%; CAGR to 2018: +2.4%
- Soft drinks value sales growth y-o-y in 2014: +3.2%; CAGR to 2018: +4.2%
- Alcoholic drinks value sales growth y-o-y in 2014: +2.3%; CAGR to 2018: +3.3%
- Total mass grocery retail (MGR) sales growth y-o-y in 2014: +3.0%; CAGR to 2018: +4.4%

Table Of Contents

Ireland Food and Drink Report 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Food 9
Drink 11
Mass Grocery Retail 13
Industry Forecast 15
Consumer Outlook 15
Food 17
Food Consumption 17
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Ireland 2011-2018) 17
Confectionery 18
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Ireland 2011-2018) 18
Meat 19
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Ireland 2013-2018) 19
Fish 20
Table: Fish Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Ireland 2011-2018) 20
Frozen Fruit And Vegetables 21
Table: Frozen Fruit and Vegetables Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Ireland 2013-2018) 21
Snack Foods 22
Table: Sweet Biscuits Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Ireland 2013-2018) 22
Table: Jams and Jellies Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Ireland 2013-2018) 22
Pasta 23
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Ireland 2013-2018) 23
Oils and Fats 23
Table: Oils and Fats Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Ireland 2011-2018) 23
Dairy 24
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Ireland 2013-2018) 25
Drink 26
Soft Drinks 26
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production and Trade (Ireland 2013-2018) 27
Alcoholic Drinks 28
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Ireland 2013-2018) 30
Hot Drinks 31
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Ireland 2013-2018) 32
Mass Grocery Retail 32
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data and Forecasts (Ireland 2013-2018) 33
Table: Organised Retail Market Share 33
Trade 34
Table: Trade Balance - Historical Data and Forecasts (Ireland 2013-2018) 35
Macroeconomic Forecast 36
Economic Analysis 36
Table: Economic Activity (Ireland 2009-2018) 41
Industry Risk/Reward Index 42
Western Europe - Risk/Reward Index 42
Table: Western Europe Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Q115 43
Table: Western Europe Food and Drink Risk/Reward Sub-Factor Index Q115 (scores out of 10) 47
Ireland Risk/Reward Index 48
Market Overview 49
Food 49
Agri-Food 49
Confectionery 50
Prepared Food 50
Dairy 51
Drink 52
Soft Drinks 52
Alcoholic Drinks 53
Mass Grocery Retail 55
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Ireland 2005-2014) 57
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Ireland 2005-2014) 57
Industry Trends And Developments 58
Food 58
Key Industry Trends And Developments 58
Drink 69
Key Industry Trends And Developments 69
Mass Grocery Retail 77
Key Industry Trends And Developments 77
Competitive Landscape 83
Table: Key Players In Ireland's Food Sector 83
Table: Key Players In Ireland's Drink Sector 85
Table: Key Players In Ireland's Mass Grocery Retail Sector 86
Company Profile 87
Kerry Group 87
Greencore 90
CandC 93
Tesco Ireland 97
Global Industry Overview 100
Table: Dollar General And Family Dollar Historic Quarterly Same-Store Sales Growth (% Change Y-O-Y) 104
Table: Selected US And Global Spirits Companies - Historical Financial Indicators 107
Table: Select US Beverage Companies - Historic Eva Spread 109
Table: Food and Drink Team's Core Views 110
Demographic Forecast 112
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Ireland 1990-2025) 113
Table: Key Population Ratios (Ireland 1990-2025) 113
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Ireland 1990-2025) 114
Table: Population By Age Group (Ireland 1990-2025) 114
Table: Population By Age Group % (Ireland 1990-2025) 115
Glossary 117
Food and Drink 117
Mass Grocery Retail 117
Methodology 119
Industry Forecast Methodology 119
Sector-Specific Methodology 120
Sources 120
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 121
Table: Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators 122
Table: Weighting 123

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