Italy Commercial Banking Industry Update Quarter 4 2011

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$ 1 088 - October 2012 - by Business Monitor International - 50

Summary

Table of Contents

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Data Series

Industry

Commercial Banking

Country

Italy

Companies

Unione di Banche Italiane ScpA

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.

Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment.

Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.

The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Executive Summary 5
Table: Levels (EURbn) . 5
Table: Levels (US$bn) .. 5
Table: Levels At April 2012 .. 5
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections, 2012-2016 (%) . 5
Table: Ranking Out Of 59 Countries Reviewed In 2011 ... 6
Table: Projected Levels (EURbn), 2008-2016 .. 6
Table: Projected Levels (US$bn), 2008-2016 ... 6
SWOT Analysis 7
Italy Commercial Banking SWOT . 7
Italy Political SWOT . 7
Italy Economic SWOT ... 8
Italy Business Environment SWOT ... 9
Business Environment Outlook 10
Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating 10
Table: Italy's Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Ratings ... 10
Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 11
Table: Developed States Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Ratings .. 12
Global Commercial Banking Outlook ... 13
Regional Outlooks . 20
Banking Sector: Hitting Turbulence. 20
Europe Banking Sector Outlook ... 22
Developed States Banking Sector Forecast Overview .. 22
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2011 .. 22
Table: Developed States Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Ratings .. 23
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit, Loan/Asset And Loan/GDP Ratios ... 23
Table: Anticipated Developments In 2012 .. 24
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets, Client Loans And Client Deposits (US$bn) 24
Table: Comparison Of Per Capita Deposits, 2011 (US$) ... 25
Table: Interbank Rates And Bond Yields 25
Italy Specific Banking Sector Outlook . 26
Weak Profitability For Years To Come 26
Economic Outlook . 31
Table: Italy – GDP By Expenditure, Current Prices Breakdown, 2008-2016 .. 33
Competitive Landscape 34
Market Structure .. 34
Protagonists 34
Table: Protagonists In Italy's Commercial Banking Sector 34
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe... 34
List Of Banks .. 35
Italy Commercial Banking Report Q4 2012
4
Table: Major Banks In Italy 35
Company Profiles .. 37
Banca Nazionale del Lavoro ... 37
Table: Stock Market Indicators, 2006-2011 38
Table: Balance Sheet (EURmn, unless stated), 2009 .. 38
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated), 2009 ... 38
Table: Key Ratios (%), 2009 ... 39
UniCredit Group . 40
Table: Stock Market Indicators, 2006-2011 41
Table: Balance Sheet (EURmn, unless stated), 2006-2010 . 41
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated), 2006-2010 .. 42
Table: Key Ratios (%), 2006-2010 .. 42
Banco Desio 43
Antonveneta 44
UBI Banca .. 45
Table: Key Statistics For UBI Banca, 2008-2010 (EURmn) ... 45
BMI Banking Sector Methodology 46
Table: Commercial Banking Business Environment Indicators And Rationale 48
Table: Weighting Of Indicators .. 49

Commercial Banking in Italy

Italy Bond Portfolio, % Of Gdp

$ 250
Industry data
January 2013

Yearly, From 1997 To 2011
By Business Monitor International
Source: BoI

Industries : Commercial Banking
Countries : Italy

Italy Bond Portfolio, % Of Total Assets

$ 250
Industry data
January 2013

Yearly, From 1997 To 2011
By Business Monitor International
Source: BoI

Industries : Commercial Banking
Countries : Italy

Italy Bond Portfolio, Us$mn

$ 250
Industry data
January 2013

Yearly, From 1997 To 2011
By Business Monitor International
Source: BoI

Industries : Commercial Banking
Countries : Italy

Italy Client Deposits, Us$ Per Capita

$ 250
Industry data
January 2013

Yearly, From 1997 To 2017
By Business Monitor International
Source: BoI/BMI

Industries : Commercial Banking
Countries : Italy

Italy Client Deposits, % Change Y-o-y

$ 250
Industry data
January 2013

Yearly, From 1998 To 2017
By Business Monitor International
Source: BoI/BMI

Industries : Commercial Banking
Countries : Italy

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