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Mobile and Desktop Computing Market Analysis and Forecast: 2010-2020

  • March 2013
  • -
  • Bishop & Associates inc

Summary

Table of Contents

Mobile and Desktop Computing – The Changing Landscape


Never before has the mobile and desktop computing industry experienced such major change - change which will play out for at least the next decade. While some major segments have reached near commodity status, the entire industry is in upheaval due to maturation of the desktop category, slowing growth in notebooks, possibly the first ever potential for negative growth, and the wild ride of ultra'mobile smartphones and tablets.

In addition, there is the potential for new players, a few known, others unknown at this time. These players could play a major role as markets emerging in China, SE Asia, the Indian subcontinent, Africa and the ROW region begin to mature economically and build infrastructure.

There is also the dynamic of where mobile and desktop computing products are being manufactured, i.e. outsourced, how that will continue - and a look at which regions dominate product design and OEM print control.

Those in the industry are scurrying around with new categories of notebooks, tablets and convertibles, with some entries appearing to be thrown at the wall hoping something will stick.

For drivers in the industry: There are threats to the dominance of Intel and Microsoft, and well'financed attempts by them to try to lead the ultra'mobile bandwagon. For Apple there have been major innovations, huge rewards, yet questions persist about their future new product development pace. For other manufacturers: Google, Qualcomm, ARM and Samsung there are opportunities to crack former duopolies. Google is well into their relentless drive to dominate with Android in smartphones and tablets. Interestingly, Intel, Microsoft and Google are testing the water with their own hardware devices. Microsoft’s introduction of Windows 8, a touch based OS, may help drive sales of new tablets and laptops implementing the new touch screens to take advantage of the new Metro interface.

For connector manufacturers, shifts in demand patterns will be challenging: away from traditional desktops, motherboards and notebooks, to smartphones, tablets, UltraBooks* and all'in?one desktops. There is also the potential for more turmoil among OEMs and ODM suppliers, with possible questions about current leaders, and where their future product and customer penetration should be focused.

This study attempts to look at these dynamic changes both from the perspective of leading OEMs, and the unit volumes of connectors to be used in the different computing and mobile market segments. This report will be of value to connector manufacturers, OEMs and other stakeholders in the extended PC category, which is no longer complete without looking at smartphones, tablets, notebooks, UltraBooks, desktop towers and AIO desktops.

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