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  5. > Qatar Oil and Gas Report Q4 2015

Qatar Oil and Gas Report Q4 2015

  • October 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 127 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

The moratorium on upstream gas projects will limit the overall level of activity in the coming quarters, while work on a small number of enhanced oil recovery and redevelopment projects continues. Qatar's dominance of the liquefied natural gas export market will increasingly be challenged by other producers, but efforts to diversify the economy away from oil and gas will soften the impact.

We highlight the following trends and developments in Qatar's oil and gas sector:
- The collapse of an oil rig housing workers at al-Shaheen in July 2014 led to 30,000b/d fall in output from the field, though no permanent damage to production or facilities was reported. The duration of the shutin
of production at al-Shaheen was unclear, but we note some slight downside risk to our forecast for 2015. Qatar announced in 2015 that it would invite new bids for al-Shaheen when the current contract expires in mid-2017. In line with an effort to increase state control in the upstream sector will see Qatar seek new international oil companies (IOCs) for a 25-year exploration and production agreement. Though Maersk will be among the firms able to bid, uncertainty over long-term ownership of the field could slow investment in the near-term.

Table Of Contents

Qatar Oil and Gas Report Q4 2015
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Qatar 2013-2019) 7
SWOT 8
Oil and Gas SWOT 8
Industry Forecast .. 10
Upstream Exploration 10
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Qatar 2013-2018) 10
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Qatar 2019-2024) 10
Upstream Projects .. 12
Table: Key Upstream Projects In Qatar 12
Upstream Production - Oil 13
Table: Oil Production (Qatar 2013-2018) 13
Table: Oil Production (Qatar 2019-2024) 13
Upstream Production - Gas .. 17
Table: Gas Production (Qatar 2013-2018) . 17
Table: Gas Production (Qatar 2019-2024) . 18
Refining . 20
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Qatar 2013-2018) 20
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Qatar 2019-2024) 21
Refined Fuels Consumption .. 24
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Qatar 2013-2018) . 24
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Qatar 2019-2024) . 24
Gas Consumption 26
Table: Gas Consumption (Qatar 2013-2018) 26
Table: Gas Consumption (Qatar 2019-2024) 26
Table: Qatar Power . 28
Trade - Oil 29
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Qatar 2013-2018) 29
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Qatar 2019-2024) 29
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Qatar 2013-2018) 30
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Qatar 2019-2024) 31
Table: Total Net Oil Exports - Crude and Products (Qatar 2013-2018) . 33
Table: Total Net Oil Exports - Crude and Products (Qatar 2019-2024) . 33
Trade - Gas (Pipeline and LNG) .. 34
Table: Gas Net Exports (Qatar 2013-2018) 34
Table: Gas Net Exports (Qatar 2019-2024) 35
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 40
Middle East Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 40
Table: BMI's Middle East Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index (RRI) . 40
Middle East Index Resilient In Lower Price Environment 41
Table: Middle East Upstream Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 41
Limited Opportunities Downstream .. 43
Table: Middle East Downstream Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 43
Qatar - Risk/Reward Index 45
Market Overview 47
Qatar Energy Market Overview 47
Overview/State Role . 49
Licensing And Regulation 50
Government Policy 50
International Energy Relations .. 50
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 53
Oil Refineries . 53
Table: Refineries In Qatar . 53
Table: GTL Plants In Qatar 55
LNG Terminals .. 56
Table: LNG Terminals In Qatar 56
Gas Pipelines . 58
Competitive Landscape . 59
Competitive Landscape Summary .. 59
Table: Key Domestic And Foreign Companies In The Qatari Oil And Gas Sector . 60
Table: Key Upstream Players 60
Table: Key Downstream Player 61
Company Profile . 62
ExxonMobil Oil Qatar 62
Qatar Petroleum . 65
Royal Dutch Shell 72
Total Qatar .. 76
Other Summaries . 80
Regional Overview 87
Middle East Oil and Gas Regional Overview 87
Oil Production - Low Production Costs Support Expansion . 87
Oil Consumption - Downstream Expansion, Subsidies Drive Demand .. 89
Refining Capacity - Outcompeting With Advanced Mega Refineries .. 90
Gas Production - More Gas Needed . 92
Gas Consumption - Gas Switch Boosting Demand . 93
Global Industry Overview .. 95
Global Energy Market Overview . 95
Table: Top 10 Global Oil Producers - Crude Oil, Condensates and NGLs Production ('000b/d) . 95
Table: Oil Production Growth 2015-2024* ('000b/d) . 98
Table: Oil Production Growth 2015-2024* ('000b/d) . 99
Appendix .. 101
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-Year Forecasts . 101
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2013-2018) 101
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2019-2024) 102
Middle East - Regional Appendix .. 103
Table: Oil Consumption - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 ('000b/d) 103
Table: Oil Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 ('000b/d) 104
Table: Oil Production - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 ('000b/d) . 104
Table: Oil Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 ('000b/d) 105
Table: Refining Capacity - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 ('000b/d) . 106
Table: Refining Capacity - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 ('000b/d) . 106
Table: Gas Consumption - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 (bcm) . 107
Table: Gas Consumption, 2016-2024 (bcm) 107
Table: Gas Production - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 (bcm) 108
Table: Gas Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 (bcm) . 109
Table: Net LNG Exports - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 (bcm) 109
Table: Net LNG Exports - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 (bcm) . 110
Qatar - Total Hydrocarbons, 10-year Forecasts 111
Table: Total Hydrocarbons Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Qatar 2013-2018) . 111
Table: Total Hydrocarbons Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Qatar 2019-2024) . 111
Qatar - Refined Products Breakdown, 10-year Forecasts 112
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown (Qatar 2013-2018) 112
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown (Qatar 2019-2024) 113
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown (Qatar 2013-2018) 114
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown (Qatar 2019-2024) 115
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown (Qatar 2013-2018) 116
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown (Qatar 2019-2024) 117
Table: LPG Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Qatar 2013-2018) . 118
Table: LPG Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Qatar 2019-2024) . 119
Glossary 120
Table: Glossary Of Terms . 120
Methodology .. 122
Industry Forecast Methodology .. 122
Source .. 124
Risk/Reward Index Methodology . 124
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 126
Table: Weighting 127

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