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Russia Information Technology Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 70 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates
BMI View:

The IT market recovered from lows in H116, following its plunge in US dollar terms in 2016After IT market plunged in US dollar terms in 2015. However, the medium term outlook for growth is modest and we do not envisage a sustained acceleration in spending growth. The subdued economic outlook is one factor, and the weaker rouble could have a long term impact by promoting more cost-competitive domestic software and services solutions. There is also substantial uncertainty due to Russian economic performance correlating with the oil price, as well as the path for US-Russia relations around which there are several potential flashpoints.

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

- Hardware: RUB476.9bn in 2016 to RUB539.0bn in 2020, a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.1%. A declining population and sluggish purchasing power growth, as well as potential PC cannibalisation by smartphones, means the hardware segment is forecast to underperform.

- Software: RUB200.0bn in 2016 to RUB240.2bn in 2020, a CAGR of 4.7%. Russian software vendors have benefited from depreciation, and as local capacity is scaled up we expect the software segment to accelerate to meet the demand of Russian public and private sector clients.

- Services: RUB296.3bn in 2016 to RUB395.2bn in 2020, a CAGR of 7.5%. There are regulatory risks, for instance Russian data localisation requirements, but these are positive for cloud services in the short-run provided the government does not further expand initiatives for technological sovereignty that could become disruptive.

Table Of Contents

Russia Information Technology Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Latest Updates and Industry Developments 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Table: Enterprise Trends - GVA By Vertical (Russia 2015-2020) 15
Table: IT Industry - Historical Data And Forecasts (Russia 2013-2020) 16
Industry Risk Reward Index 17
Industry Risk/Reward Index 17
Table: Europe IT Risk/Reward Index, Q4 2016 19
Market Overview 20
Recent Developments 20
Hardware 20
Software 25
Cloud Computing 30
Services 35
Industry Trends And Developments 39
IT Hardware Trade 39
Table: CEE IT Hardware Trade, 2010-2015 39
Table: Russia IT Hardware Trade, 2010-2015 40
IT Industry Analysis 41
Regulatory Development 46
Table: IT Authorities 46
Competitive Landscape 51
Russia IT Companies 51
IT Vendors - EMEA, 2015 53
Table: Computer Hardware 53
Table: Software 53
Table: Cloud 54
Table: IT Services 55
Retailers 57
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers 57
Table: Selected E-Commerce Retailers 57
Regional Overview 58
Demographic Forecast 61
Demographic Outlook 61
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Russia 1990-2025) 62
Table: Key Population Ratios (Russia 1990-2025) 62
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Russia 1990-2025) 63
Table: Population By Age Group (Russia 1990-2025) 63
Table: Population By Age Group % (Russia 1990-2025) 64
Methodology 66
Industry Forecast Methodology 66
Sources 68
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 68
Table: IT Risk/Reward Index Indicators 69
Table: Weighting Of Components 70

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