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South Africa Food and Drink Report 2015

  • January 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 111 pages

BMI View:

The latest data continue to indicate that South Africa's economic growth will remain on a slow side in the coming months. Whilst GDP contracted in Q114 it has shown modest growth since, up 0.5% in Q214 and 1.4% in Q314, but still falls far short of the 4.5% averages that the country achieved in the opening decade of the 21st century. Structural problems, high unemployment and a deteriorating infrastructure are among the main problems holding the country back. Consumer spending as a whole remains relatively tepid, although the mass grocery retail sector has seen some improvement in recent months which is due in part to the resolution of the protracted and costly strikes that were affecting the platinum mining and manufacturing sector.

Headline Industry Data

- 2014 per capita food consumption (local currency) = +6.9%; five-year forecast compound annual growth (CAGR) to 2018 = +7.9%.
- 2014 soft drinks volume sales = +8.2%; forecast compound annual growth to 2018 = +5.8%
- 2014 mass grocery retail sales (local currency) = +8.0%; forecast compound annual growth to 2018 = +8.9%.

Table Of Contents

South Africa Food and Drink Report 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Food 10
Drink 12
Mass Grocery Retail 13
Industry Forecast 15
Consumer Outlook 15
Food 17
Food Consumption 17
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (South Africa 2011-2018) 18
Confectionery 18
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (South Africa 2011-2018) 19
Meat 20
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (South Africa 2011-2018) 20
Other Prepared Foods 20
Table: Jams and Jellies Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (South Africa 2011-2018) 21
Oils and Fats 21
Dairy 21
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (South Africa 2011-2018) 22
Drink 23
Alcoholic Drinks 23
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (South Africa 2011-2018) 24
Soft Drinks 25
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (South Africa 2011-2018) 26
Hot Drinks 27
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (South Africa 2011-2018) 28
Mass Grocery Retail 29
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data and Forecasts (South Africa 2011-2018) 30
Trade 30
Table: Trade Balance - Historical Data and Forecasts (South Africa 2011-2018) 31
Macroeconomic Forecast 32
Economic Analysis 32
Table: Real GDP Growth, % chg q-o-q, SAAR 32
Table: Economic Activity (South Africa 2009-2018) 37
Industry Risk Reward Index 38
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index 38
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Q115 40
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Food and Drink Risk/Reward Sub-Factor Index, Q115 (scores out of 10) 43
South Africa Risk/Reward Index 43
Market Overview 44
Food 44
Agriculture 44
Organics 45
Food Production 45
Drink 46
Alcoholic Drinks 46
Soft Drinks 47
Hot Drinks 47
Mass Grocery Retail 48
Table: Structure Of Mass Grocery Retail Market By Estimated Number of Outlets (South Africa 2005-2009) 50
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (South Africa 2005-2009) 50
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (South Africa 2005-2009) 50
Table: Average Annual Sales Value By Format - 2011 51
Industry Trends And Developments 52
Food 52
Key Industry Trends And Developments 52
Drink 58
Key Industry Trends And Developments 58
Mass Grocery Retail 63
Key Industry Trends And Developments 63
Competitive Landscape 69
Table: Key Players In South Africa's Food Sector 69
Table: Key Players In South Africa's Drink Sector 70
Table: Key Players In South Africa's Mass Grocery Retail Industry 71
Company Profile 73
Distell 73
Illovo Sugar 75
Tiger Brands 77
Pioneer Foods 79
Shoprite Group 81
Woolworths 84
Pick n Pay 86
Global Industry Overview 88
Table: Dollar General And Family Dollar Historic Quarterly Same-Store Sales Growth (% Change Y-O-Y) 92
Table: Selected US And Global Spirits Companies - Historical Financial Indicators 95
Table: Select US Beverage Companies - Historic Eva Spread 97
Table: Food and Drink Team's Core Views 98
Demographic Forecast 100
Table: Population Headline Indicators (South Africa 1990-2025) 101
Table: Key Population Ratios (South Africa 1990-2025) 101
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (South Africa 1990-2025) 102
Table: Population By Age Group (South Africa 1990-2025) 102
Table: Population By Age Group % (South Africa 1990-2025) 103
Glossary 105
Food and Drink 105
Mass Grocery Retail 105
Methodology 107
Industry Forecast Methodology 107
Sector-Specific Methodology 108
Sources 108
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 109
Table: Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators 110
Table: Weighting 111

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