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Turkey Information Technology Report Q4 2016

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 66 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

The attempted coup and government response in July 2016 has raised uncertainty in what was already a challenging IT market. Lira depreciation hit demand for imported IT hardware in 2015, and now with further downside - in 2016 and over the medium term - this drag will persist. We do expect mediumterm recovery in IT market dynamics as the situation stabilises, but caution that downside risks are elevated and lira depreciation is likely to continue to be a drag on USD returns throughout the forecast period. We envisage Turkish IT spending will increase at a CAGR of 8.4% over 2016-2020 in lira terms, but the USD outlook is markedly weaker at a CAGR of just 1.1%. Latest Updates And Industry Developments

- Computer Hardware: Forecast growth from TRY12.1bn in 2016 to TRY15.9bn in 2020, at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.0%. Uncertainty and a weaker purchasing power growth forecast resulted in a downgrade following the coup attempt, but there is still potential in the hardware segment where PC penetration is lower than in developed markets.

- Software: Predicted growth of TRY2.4bn in 2016 to TRY3.5bn in 2020, at a CAGR of 9.9%. Uncertainty a short-term drag, but competitive pressures resulting from trade liberalisation and modernisation will ensure a strong growth trajectory over the medium term.

- Services: CAGR of 11.7% over 2016-2020, increasing from TRY3.5bn in 2016 to TRY5.4bn in 2020. Wider adoption of cloud computing and outsourcing services will make IT services the outperforming segment over the medium term.

Table Of Contents

Turkey Information Technology Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Industry Forecast 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Table: Enterprise Trends - GVA By Vertical (Turkey 2015-2020) 15
Table: IT Industry - Historical Data And Forecasts (Turkey 2013-2020) 16
Industry Risk/Reward Index 17
Table: Europe IT Risk/Reward Index, Q4 2016 18
Market Overview 20
Recent Developments 20
Hardware 20
Software 26
Cloud Computing 31
IT Services 34
Industry Trends And Developments 38
IT Hardware Trade 38
Table: Central And Eastern Europe (CEE) IT Hardware Trade Balance, 2010-2015 38
Table: Turkey IT Hardware Trade, 2010-2015 39
Local Industry 40
Government IT Industry Policies 42
Regulatory Development 43
Table: Regulatory Authorities 43
Competitive Landscape 47
Turkey IT Companies 47
IT Companies - EMEA, 2015 48
Table: Computer Hardware 48
Table: Software 49
Table: Cloud 50
Table: IT Services 50
Retailers 52
Table: Major Electronics Retailers 52
Table: Major E-Commerce Retailers And Online Marketplaces 53
Regional Overview 54
Demographic Forecast 57
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Turkey 1990-2025) 58
Table: Key Population Ratios (Turkey 1990-2025) 58
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Turkey 1990-2025) 59
Table: Population By Age Group (Turkey 1990-2025) 59
Table: Population By Age Group % (Turkey 1990-2025) 60
Methodology 62
Industry Forecast Methodology 62
Sources 64
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 64
Table: IT Risk/Reward Index Indicators 65
Table: Weighting Of Components 66

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