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  5. > France Renewables Report Q3 2016

France Renewables Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 46 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Increased regulatory clarity, in form of the passing of the energy transition bill and theadoption of ambitious long-term targets, will be conducive to robust renewables capacity growth in Franceover the next decade. Robust government support across the renewables sector will further underpinFrance's emergence as relatively attractive renewables market in Europe.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

-France hosted the UN COP21 climate conference in December 2015 on the back of having announcedambitious renewables growth targets in November 2015. The government announced updated andbolstered renewables targets just days after the official signing of the COP21 document in April,signalling the country aims to take a proactive role in the green energy agenda.

-A 63.2GW capacity cap on nuclear power in line with the Energy Transition Bill that was passed in thelower and the upper house in July 2015 coupled with the decline in thermal-fired power generation - withcoal capacity being phased-down due to stringent carbon emissions requirements - means that renewableswill play an important role in the French power mix over the next decade. This will in part also be drivenby French aims to sustain robust electricity exports. We note that a total of 2.4GW of interconnectioncapacity to the UK is currently under planning.

-The second solar power tender in France held in August 2015 was doubled by the government from400MW to 800MW as a result of the strong investor interest and the attractive bids put forward byproject developers. A total of 4,350MW of solar power-generating capacity is scheduled to be procured intenders between 2016 and 2019. The government aims to deploy 20.2GW by 2023.

-We forecast non-hydropower renewables capacity to grow by an annual average of 7.1% between 2016and 2025. As a result, the segment will comprise about 10.4% of total power generation in 2025. Thiswill be a result of the lack of firm measures supporting a targeted phase-down of nuclear power over thenext decade, as we expect the sector to comprise about 75% of total power generation leading up to 2025(despite a target to lower the share to 50% by that year).

Table Of Contents

France Renewables Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Renewables Headline Forecasts (France 2015-2021) 7
Latest Updates And Structural Trends 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 9
France Renewables Forecast Scenario 9
Latest Updates 9
Structural Trends 11
Table: The Energy Transition Bill 11
Table: Ambitious Targets To Be Supported By Policy 13
Table: Solar Power Tariffs Falls In Second Capacity Tender 18
Table: Solar Power Tenders - Capacity On Offer, By Year And Type 19
Table: Limited Biomass Capacity On Offer 21
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (France 2014-2019) 24
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (France 2020-2025) 25
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (France 2014-2019) 26
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (France 2020-2025) 27
France Renewables Projects Database 28
Table: France - Top 10 Renewables Projects By Capacity (MW) 28
Industry Risk/Reward Index 29
France Renewables Risk/Reward Index 29
Rewards 29
Risks 30
Market Overview 31
Sustainable Energy Policy and Infrastructure 31
Targets (Renewables And Emissions) 31
Table: Ambitious Renewables Targets 31
Subsidies 32
Infrastructure 33
Competitive Landscape 36
Electricite de France (EDF) 36
Engie (GDF Suez) 37
Alstom 38
Areva 39
Glossary 40
Table: Glossary Of Terms 40
Methodology 41
Methodology And Sources 41
Industry Forecast Methodology 41
Sources 43
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 43
Table: Renewables Risk/Reward Index Indicators 45
Table: Weighting Indicators 46

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