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Poland Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

  • September 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 69 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

The deployment of next-generation infrastructure is driving usage of premium non-voice services as well as complex, multi-screen converged services in Poland. Orange, Netia and Cyfrowy Polsat are benefiting to varying degrees. Although our outlook on the uptake of 3G/4G services is optimistic, the bids for spectrum in the auctions will temper any return on investment strategies, with a commensurate impact on pricing that will have to be borne by operators and end-users alike.

Latest Updates And Industry Developments


- The mobile market contracted sharply in H116 as more than 1.8mn subscriptions were shed. Orange and P4 (Play) performed well, signalling good underlying growth prospects deriving from customer deepening strategies. We forecast 53.423mn mobile subscriptions by 2020.

- Mobile expansion is being driven by 3G/4G migration. We forecast 48.364mn subscriptions by 2020, or 90.5% of the overall market, but the rate of growth will depend on operators' capex strategies as outlays on spectrum will weigh on their inclination to invest in networks.

Table Of Contents

Poland Telecommunications Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 9
Latest Updates 9
Structural Trends 9
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Poland 2013-2020) 12
Industry Risk Reward Index 13
Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Index 13
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q4 2016 15
Industry Risk Reward Index 16
Market Overview 18
Market Drivers And Trends 18
Mobile 18
Wireline Voice And Broadband 21
Pay-TV/Convergence 23
Table: Pay-TV Subscriptions By Key Operator (000) 24
Regulatory Development 25
Regulatory Overview 25
Industry Risks 25
Main Development: 800/2600MHz Auction Encounters Problems 27
Additional Developments: Polkomtel-Midas Deal A Test Of Regulator's Mettle 27
Competitive Landscape 29
Table: Poland - Key Telecoms Players 29
Mobile Operator Data 30
Table: Poland Mobile Market Overview 30
Table: T-Mobile Poland (PTC) 30
Table: Orange 32
Table: P4/Play 34
Table: Polkomtel/Cyfrowy Polsat 35
Wireline Operator Data 35
Table: Orange (TP SA) 35
Table: UPC Poland 37
Table: Netia 38
Table: Vectra 39
Table: Cyfrowy Polsat Wireline 40
Table: Multimedia Polska 41
Company Profile 43
Netia 43
Cyfrowy Polsat Group 47
Orange Polska (TPSA) 51
T-Mobile (Polska Telefonia Cyfrowa) 55
Demographic Forecast 58
Demographic Outlook 58
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Poland 1990-2025) 59
Table: Key Population Ratios (Poland 1990-2025) 59
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Poland 1990-2025) 60
Table: Population By Age Group (Poland 1990-2025) 60
Table: Population By Age Group % (Poland 1990-2025) 61
Glossary 63
Table: Glossary Of Terms 63
Methodology 65
Industry Forecast Methodology 65
Sources 67
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 67
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 68
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 69

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