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Turkey Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

  • September 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 61 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View: We retain our generally positive outlook for the Turkish mobile market in our latest Q4 2016 report update. We hold the opinion that the telecoms market will be driven by advanced technologies, with the launch of LTE services in April 2016 signalling a crucial turning point in the market dynamics, along with the development of fibre networks in the country. We believe that this will help boost demand for greater usage, enabling operators to monetise their investments, as well as proposing new types of offers, such as convergence, as the market continues its development. However, we caution that the market may be reaching saturation levels as organic growth prospects in terms of new subscriber numbers are set to stagnate over the course of our forecast period.

Key Data
- The mobile market reached 73.16mn subscriptions in March 2016, as all three operators reported growth and a higher percentage of post-paid customers. The market lost only 7,000 subscribers in Q116, a negligible number.
- The demand for data and the growing share of contract users has driven ARPU, which has increased for all three players, reaching TRY24.7 for Turkcell, TRY25.8 for Vodafone, and TRY24.0 for Avea at end of Q1 2016.

Table Of Contents

Turkey Telecommunications Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Wireline Voice and Broadband 13
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Turkey 2013-2020) 15
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 16
Western Europe Risk/Reward Index 16
Table: Western Europe Risk/Reward Index, Q4 2016 18
Turkey Risk/Reward Index 19
Market Overview 21
Market Drivers And Trends 21
Mobile 23
Wireline Voice and Broadband 28
Pay-TV/Convergence 31
Regulatory Development 33
Regulatory Development 33
Industry Risks 33
Main Development: 4G Comes to Turkey and Possible New Operator 34
Table: August 2015 Auction Results 35
Competitive Landscape 36
Table: Key Players - Turkey Telecoms Sector 36
Table: Mobile Market Overview 37
Operator Data 37
Table: Turkcell 37
Table: Vodafone Turkey 38
Table: Avea 39
Company Profile 40
Türk Telekom 40
Turkcell 44
Vodafone Turkey 47
Demographic Forecast 50
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Turkey 1990-2025) 51
Table: Key Population Ratios (Turkey 1990-2025) 51
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Turkey 1990-2025) 52
Table: Population By Age Group (Turkey 1990-2025) 52
Table: Population By Age Group % (Turkey 1990-2025) 53
Glossary 55
Table: Glossary Of Terms 55
Methodology 57
Industry Forecast Methodology 57
Sources 59
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 59
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 60
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 61

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