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  4. > Ukraine Telecommunications Report Q4 2015

Ukraine Telecommunications Report Q4 2015

  • October 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 61 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: 3G has finally come to Ukraine with thelaunch of commercial services by Astelit andKyivstar. This is a huge opportunity for operators toturnaround their fortunes with higher revenues frommobile data services. The telecoms sector has beenartificially held back for many years as a result ofthe lack of 3G and fierce competition for datasubscribers will help with innovation and VAS.Ukraine has one of the lowest ARPUs in Europe andwe expect this will begin to improve as a result. Thisis due to the high share of inactive prepaid contractsin the subscriber mix and the depreciation of thelocal currency as result of the ongoing crisis, and weexpect 3G will still affect the market positively.

We have previously upgraded our forecasts to reflectour expectations for 3G in the Ukraine rising fromH2 2015. As regulator NKRZI (NCCIR) approved in August 2015 a roadmap to implement 4G LTE mobileservices in the country until 2017, we expect operators will have to plan their investment into networkscarefully, while competition in the mobile broadband market increases. The main components of theroadmap include changes to the national frequency allocation table/usage plan and re-farming existingfrequencies for LTE under a new technology-neutral licensing regime. The plan aims to catch up withtechnology used by other countries.

Table Of Contents

Ukraine Telecommunications Report Q4 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Political 10
Economic 11
Business Environment 12
Industry Forecast 14
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Ukraine 2012-2019) 14
ARPU 15
Fixed-Line 16
Broadband 17
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 19
Central And Eastern Europe Industry Risk Reward Index 19
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Telecoms Risk/Rewards Index, Q4 2015 22
Market Overview 24
Mobile 24
Market Trends 24
Table: Ukrainian Mobile Market, Q2 2015 26
Network Developments 27
Mobile Content 28
Market Trends 28
Converged Services 29
Market Trends 29
Market Trends 29
Regulatory Development 31
Table: Regulatory Body Responsibilities 32
Regulatory Developments 34
Table: Selected Regulatory Developments 35
Company Profile 36
Astelit 36
MTS Ukraine 39
Ukrtelecom 42
VimpelCom (Kyivstar) 46
Demographic Forecast 50
Demographic Outlook 50
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Ukraine 1990-2025) 51
Table: Key Population Ratios (Ukraine 1990-2025) 51
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Ukraine 1990-2025) 52
Table: Population By Age Group (Ukraine 1990-2025) 52
Table: Population By Age Group % (Ukraine 1990-2025) 53
Glossary 55
Table: Glossary Of Terms 55
Methodology 57
Industry Forecast Methodology 57
Sources 59
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 59
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 60
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 61

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