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  4. > Brazil Mining Report Q4 2016

Brazil Mining Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 72 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates
BMI View:

Brazil's mining industry value will continue a multi-year decline in 2016. Nonetheless, robust iron ore production growth and a broader stabilisation of metals prices will support the country's mining industry outlook over 2017-2020.

Latest Developments & Structural Trends

- Iron ore will be Brazil's mining industry's growth bright spot due to the sector's low production costs, and a strong output growth strategy from Brazilian mining giant Vale. We expect Brazil's share of global iron ore production to increase from 14.4% in 2016 to 17.7% by 2020, with the sector's output reaching 581mnt in 2020 from 454mnt in 2016.

- On September 14, a Brazilian judge ordered three independent damage assessments of the November 2015 Samarco mine tailings dam burst. The results will inform the ongoing federal lawsuit against parent firms Vale and BHP Billiton, as prosecutors look to overturn the USD1.3bn settlement in March as insufficient.

Table Of Contents

Brazil Mining Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Brazil Mining Industry Value Forecast (2014-2020) 7
Latest Developments and Structural Trends 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Bauxite: Foreign Ventures To Remain Dominant 10
Table: Bauxite Production Forecast (Brazil 2014-2020) 10
Risks To Outlook 12
Gold: Rising Prices To Jumpstart Projects 13
Table: Gold Production Forecast (Brazil 2014-2020) 13
Structural Trends 14
Table: Brazil - Key Gold Projects 16
Iron Ore: Global Outperformance To Continue 16
Table: Iron Ore Forecast (Brazil 2014-2020) 17
Structural Trends 17
Table: Brazil - Key Iron Ore Projects 21
Nickel: Muted Growth Rate To Continue 22
Table: Nickel Production (Brazil 2014-2020) 23
Tin: Limited Outlook For Growth 25
Table: Tin Production (Brazil 2014-2020) 26
Mining Risk/Reward Index 29
Brazil Risk/Reward Index 29
Rewards 29
Industry Rewards 29
Country Rewards 29
Risks 29
Industry Risks 29
Country Risks 29
Americas: Risk/Reward Index 30
Key Takeaways 30
Latest Revisions 31
Table: Americas - Mining Risk/Reward Index 32
Regulatory Development 33
Trade and Investment Risk Analysis 33
Commodities Forecast 37
Commodities Forecasts 37
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts 37
Competitive Landscape 39
Table: Brazil - Largest Listed Companies Financial Data, 2015 40
Company Profile 41
Global Company Strategy - Vale - Q4 2016 41
Company Overview 43
Company Strategy 44
Table: Select Companies - Operational Data 46
Table: Vale - Key Financial Data 47
Anglo American 48
Table: Select Commodities - Price Forecasts 49
Table: Anglo American - Key Projects 53
Table: Anglo American - Financial Data 55
Global Company Strategy - Alcoa - Q4 2016 56
Table: Select Commodities - Price Forecasts 58
Company Background 58
Company Strategy 61
Table: Alcoa - Key Financial Data 63
Regional Overview 64
Methodology 69
Industry Forecast Methodology 69
Sources 70
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 71
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 72

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