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  4. > South Africa Commercial Banking Report Q4 2016

South Africa Commercial Banking Report Q4 2016

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 72 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment. Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table Of Contents

South Africa Commercial Banking Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, December 2015 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2015-2020 (%) 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2016 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2013-2020 8
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking 9
Political 10
Economic 11
Operational Risk 12
Industry Forecast 14
Industry Trend Analysis 14
Table: SOUTH AFRICA - BANKING SECTOR RISK SNAPSHOT 15
Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 18
Middle East and Africa Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 18
Table: Middle East and Africa Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 19
Market Overview 20
Middle East and Africa Commercial Banking Outlook 20
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2014 20
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit, Loan/Asset And Loan/GDP Ratios, 2016 21
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets, Client Loans And Client Deposits (USDbn) 22
Table: Comparison Of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2016 23
Economic Growth Outlook 24
Table: South Africa - Real GDP Growth, % change q-o-q, SAAR 25
Competitive Landscape 28
Market Structure 28
Protagonists 28
Table: Protagonists In South Africa's Commercial Banking Sector 28
Definition of The Commercial Banking Universe 28
List Of Banks 29
Table: Member Banks 29
Company Profile 31
Absa Bank (Barclays Africa Group) 31
Table: Balance Sheet (ZARmn) 33
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 34
Table: Key Ratios (%) 34
African Bank 35
Table: Stock Market Indicators 37
Table: Balance Sheet (ZARmn) 37
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 37
Table: Key Ratios (%) 38
FirstRand 39
Table: Stock Market Indicators 41
Table: Balance Sheet (ZARmn) 42
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 42
Table: Key Ratios (%) 42
Investec 43
Table: Stock Market Indicators 45
Table: Balance Sheet (ZARmn) 45
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 45
Table: Key Ratios (%) 46
Nedbank Group 47
Table: Stock Market Indicators 49
Table: Balance Sheet (ZARmn) 49
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 49
Table: Key Ratios (%) 50
Standard Bank 51
Table: Stock Market Indicators 53
Table: Balance Sheet (ZARmn) 53
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 53
Table: Key Ratios (%) 54
Global Industry Overview 55
Industry Forecast 55
Regional Outlooks 56
Table: 50 Largest Banking Sectors By Assets - Change In Loans-To-GDP 61
Demographic Forecast 63
Demographic Outlook 63
Table: Population Headline Indicators (South Africa 1990-2025) 64
Table: Key Population Ratios (South Africa 1990-2025) 64
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (South Africa 1990-2025) 65
Table: Population By Age Group (South Africa 1990-2025) 65
Table: Population By Age Group % (South Africa 1990-2025) 66
Methodology 68
Industry Forecast Methodology 68
Sector-Specific Methodology 69
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 70
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators 71
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 72

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