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Caribbean Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 196 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:

We have not made significant revisions to our Caribbean outlook in the Q416 report. We retain the view that increasing competition in the Caribbean telecoms markets has potential to enhance innovation and improve customer choice. The announcement in May 2016 that Jamaica had launched a third mobile operator increases the prospects of competition in that market. Jamaica's mobile market is currently a duopoly between Digicel and LIME. Although the arrival of a third mobile operator would help to shake up the Trinidad & Tobago mobile market, we still expect the process to take years to play out as licence fees are agreed, spectrum allocated, networks deployed and services launched. Haiti and Cuba represent the largest organic growth opportunities in the region as both are significantly underdeveloped compared to their peers. However, the risks associated with business in these two markets mean that a mobile subscription boom is far from likely.

Latest Updates & Industry Developments


- Cayman Islands has the highest mobile penetration at around 155% in H116, while Cuba's penetration rate remains below the regional average at under 31%. Haiti and Cuba will both be excellent growth markets over the course of our forecast period.

- In May 2016 it was announced that Jamaica would get a new mobile operator to challenge the market duopoly of Digicel and Flow. Jamaica's mobile customer base is expected to grow to almost 3.57mn mobile customers by 2020.

- In March 2016 Trinidad & Tobago ISP Massy Communications (Massy) launched fibre-to-the-home (FTTH) and IPTV services. Competition is heating in Trinidad & Tobago's pay-TV sector as Massy and Digicel scale up to compete effectively with legacy players.

Table Of Contents

Caribbean Telecommunications Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 9
SWOT 11
Telecoms 11
Industry Forecast 13
Bahamas 13
Structural Trends 13
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Bahamas 2013-2020) 15
Barbados 15
Structural Trends 15
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Barbados 2013-2020) 17
Bermuda 17
Structural Trends 17
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Bermuda 2013-2020) 19
Cayman Islands 19
Structural Trends 19
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Cayman Islands 2013-2020) 21
Cuba 22
Structural Trends 22
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Cuba 2013-2020) 25
Dominican Republic 25
Structural Trends 25
Structural Trends 26
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Dominican Republic 2013-2020) 27
Haiti 27
Structural Trends 27
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Haiti 2013-2020) 29
Jamaica 29
Latest Updates 29
Structural Trends 30
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Jamaica 2013-2020) 32
Puerto Rico 32
Latest Updates 32
Structural Trends 33
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Puerto Rico 2013-2020) 35
Trinidad and Tobago 36
Latest Updates 36
Structural Trends 36
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Trinidad and Tobago 2013-2020) 38
Telecoms Risk/Reward Index 39
Latin America Risk/Reward Index 39
Table: Latin America Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q4 2016 42
Market Overview 44
Bahamas 44
Market Drivers And Trends 44
Mobile 44
Table: Bahamas Mobile Market, June 2016 47
Wireline Voice and Broadband 47
Pay-TV 50
Barbados 50
Market Drivers And Trends 51
Mobile 51
Pay-TV 56
Bermuda 57
Market Drivers And Trends 57
Mobile 58
Wireline Voice and Broadband 62
Cayman Islands 67
Market Drivers And Trends 67
Mobile 67
Wireline Voice and Broadband 70
Cuba 74
Market Trends And Drivers 74
Mobile 75
Table: Cuban Mobile Market, June 2016 BMI Estimates 79
Wireline Voice and Broadband 80
Dominican Republic 85
Market Drivers And Trends 85
Mobile 86
Wireline Voice and Broadband 89
Table: Broadband Subscriptions By Technology, Q315 91
Pay-TV/Convergence 92
Haiti 94
Market Drivers And Trends 94
Mobile 94
Wireline Voice and Broadband 98
Jamaica 101
Market Drivers And Trends 101
Mobile 102
Wireline Voice and Broadband 107
Puerto Rico 110
Market Drivers And Trends 110
Mobile 110
Wireline Voice and Broadband 113
Pay-TV/Convergence 115
Trinidad and Tobago 118
Market Drivers And Trends 118
Mobile 118
Wireline Voice and Broadband 123
Table: Trinidad and Tobago - Fixed Internet Market, Q313-Q415 125
Pay-TV/Convergence 125
Regulatory Development 127
Table: Caribbean Telecoms Regulators 127
Bahamas 128
Barbados 129
Bermuda 129
Cayman Islands 130
Cuba 131
Dominican Republic 132
Haiti 133
Jamaica 134
Puerto Rico 136
Trinidad and Tobago 136
Competitive Landscape 138
Table: Key Players - Caribbean Telecoms Sector 138
Company Profile 140
Digicel 140
Flow (Cable and Wireless Communications) 145
Demographic Forecast 150
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Bahamas 1990-2025) 151
Table: Key Population Ratios (Bahamas 1990-2025) 151
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Bahamas 1990-2025) 152
Table: Population By Age Group (Bahamas 1990-2025) 152
Table: Population By Age Group % (Bahamas 1990-2025) 153
Demographic Forecast 154
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Barbados 1990-2025) 156
Table: Key Population Ratios (Barbados 1990-2025) 156
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Barbados 1990-2025) 157
Table: Population By Age Group (Barbados 1990-2025) 157
Table: Population By Age Group % (Barbados 1990-2025) 158
Demographic Forecast 159
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Dominican Republic 1990-2025) 161
Table: Key Population Ratios (Dominican Republic 1990-2025) 161
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Dominican Republic 1990-2025) 162
Table: Population By Age Group (Dominican Republic 1990-2025) 162
Table: Population By Age Group % (Dominican Republic 1990-2025) 163
Demographic Forecast 164
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Cuba 1990-2025) 166
Table: Key Population Ratios (Cuba 1990-2025) 166
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Cuba 1990-2025) 167
Table: Population By Age Group (Cuba 1990-2025) 167
Table: Population By Age Group % (Cuba 1990-2025) 168
Demographic Forecast 169
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Haiti 1990-2025) 171
Table: Key Population Ratios (Haiti 1990-2025) 171
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Haiti 1990-2025) 172
Table: Population By Age Group (Haiti 1990-2025) 172
Table: Population By Age Group % (Haiti 1990-2025) 173
Demographic Forecast 174
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Jamaica 1990-2025) 176
Table: Key Population Ratios (Jamaica 1990-2025) 176
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Jamaica 1990-2025) 177
Table: Population By Age Group (Jamaica 1990-2025) 177
Table: Population By Age Group % (Jamaica 1990-2025) 178
Demographic Forecast 179
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Puerto Rico 1990-2025) 181
Table: Key Population Ratios (Puerto Rico 1990-2025) 181
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Puerto Rico 1990-2025) 182
Table: Population By Age Group (Puerto Rico 1990-2025) 182
Table: Population By Age Group % (Puerto Rico 1990-2025) 183
Demographic Forecast 184
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Trinidad and Tobago 1990-2025) 186
Table: Key Population Ratios (Trinidad and Tobago 1990-2025) 186
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Trinidad and Tobago 1990-2025) 187
Table: Population By Age Group (Trinidad and Tobago 1990-2025) 187
Table: Population By Age Group % (Trinidad and Tobago 1990-2025) 188
Glossary 190
Table: Glossary Of Terms 190
Methodology 192
Industry Forecast Methodology 192
Sources 194
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 194
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 195
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 196

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