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Greece Oil and Gas Report Q4 2015

  • October 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 101 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The limited interest in July's 2nd International Licensing Round confirmed our scepticism aboutthe prospects of the Greek upstream sector. We maintain our 10-year crude oil production forecasts, whichinclude a tentative 4,000b/d of new production from Energean's Prinos programme by 2019. On thedownstream market, lower prices and a colder winter meant higher heating gasoil consumption, offsettingsubdued diesel and gasoline consumption. Growing fuels exports are a bright spot for Greece's downstreamand we forecast net fuels exports to grow by 1.5% and 2.3% in 2015 and 2016 respectively.

Latest Updates and Key Forecasts

-Above and below-ground risks deterred participation in the 2nd Offshore International Licensing Round.Political risk, policy and fiscal uncertainty undermine the Greek upstream business environment at a timewhen low oil prices have curtailed capex spending on exploration globally.

Table Of Contents

Greece Oil and Gas Report Q4 2015
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline OandG Forecasts (Greece 2013-2019) 7
SWOT 8
Oil and Gas SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 9
Upstream Exploration 9
Latest Updates 9
Structural Trends 9
Upstream Projects 13
Table: Greece - Key Upstream Projects 13
Upstream Production - Oil 14
Latest Updates 14
Structural Trends 14
Table: Energean Production Timeline 15
Table: Oil Production (2014-2018) 16
Upstream Production - Gas 17
Latest Updates 17
Structural Trends 17
Table: Gas Production (Greece 2013-2018) 17
Table: Gas Production (Greece 2019-2024) 17
Refining 18
Latest Updates 18
Structural Trends 18
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Greece 2013-2018) 20
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Greece 2019-2024) 20
Refined Fuels Consumption 21
Latest Updates 21
Structural Trends 21
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Greece 2013-2018) 23
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Greece 2019-2024) 23
Gas Consumption 24
Latest Updates 24
Structural Trends 24
Table: Gas Consumption (Greece 2013-2018) 26
Table: Gas Consumption (Greece 2019-2024) 26
Trade - Oil 27
Crude Oil Trade Forecasts 27
Latest Updates 27
Structural Trends 27
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Greece 2013-2018) 28
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Greece 2019-2024) 29
Fuels Trade Forecasts 29
Latest Updates 29
Structural Trends 29
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Greece 2013-2018) 31
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Greece 2019-2024) 31
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 32
Latest Updates 32
Structural Trends 32
Table: Gas Net Exports (Greece 2013-2018) 34
Table: Gas Net Exports (Greece 2019-2024) 35
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings 36
North America And Western Europe Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 36
Table: North America and Western Europe Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 36
Table: Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 37
Wide North America / Western Europe Upstream Gap To Remain 38
North America: Canada Losing Its Edge 38
Western Europe Languishes Without Shale Outlook 39
Downstream: US Comes Out Top 41
Table: Oil and Gas Downstream Risk/Reward Index 41
Greece - Risk/Reward Index 44
Market Overview 46
Energy Market Overview 46
Regulatory Structure 46
Fiscal Regime 47
Table: Greece- Upstream Tax Regime 47
Licensing Regime 47
Table: Greece - Contracts and Licensing Regime 47
Licensing Rounds 47
Table: Greece - Completed and Ongoing Upstream Licensing Rounds 48
Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) 48
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 49
Oil Refineries 49
Table: Oil Refineries In Greece 50
Oil Storage Facilities 50
Oil Terminals/Ports 50
Table: Greece - Oil Terminals and Ports 50
LNG Terminals 51
Table: Greece - Existing and Planned LNG Terminals 51
Gas Storage Terminals 51
Table: Greece - Gas Storage Terminals 51
Gas Pipelines 52
Table: Greece - Natural Gas Pipelines 52
Crude Oil Pipelines 52
Table: Greece- Crude Oil Pipelines 52
Competitive Landscape 53
Competitive Landscape Summary 53
Table: Key Players - Greece Oil And Gas Sector 54
Table: Key Downstream Players 54
Company Profile 55
Hellenic Petroleum 55
Energean Oil and Gas 60
DEPA 65
Other Summaries 68
Regional Overview 70
North America And Western Europe Oil and Gas Regional Overview 70
Global Industry Overview 81
Global Energy Market Overview 81
Table: Top 10 Global Oil Producers - Crude Oil, Condensates and NGLs Production ('000b/d) 81
Table: Oil Production Growth 2015-2024* ('000b/d) 84
Table: Oil Production Growth 2015-2024* ('000b/d) 85
Appendix 87
Developed Europe - Regional Appendix 87
Table: Oil Consumption - Historical Data And Forecasts, 2012-2019 ('000b/d) 87
Table: Oil Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 ('000b/d) 88
Table: Oil Production - Historical Data And Forecasts, 2012-2019 ('000b/d) 88
Table: Oil Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 ('000b/d) 89
Table: Refinery Capacity - Historical Data And Forecasts, 2012-2019 ('000b/d) 89
Table: Refining Capacity - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 ('000b/d) 90
Table: Gas Consumption - Historical Data And Forecasts, 2012-2019 (bcm) 90
Table: Gas Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 (bcm) 91
Table: Gas Production - Historical Data And Forecasts, 2012-2019 (bcm) 91
Table: Gas Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 (bcm) 92
Table: LNG Gas Imports (Exports) - Historical Data And Forecasts, 2012-2019 (bcm) 92
Table: LNG Gas Imports (Exports) - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 (bcm) 93
Glossary 94
Table: Glossary Of Terms 94
Methodology 96
Industry Forecast Methodology 96
Source 98
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 98
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 100
Table: Weighting 101

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