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BMI View: We believe that Indonesia's strong fundamentals of a large, youthful population and a strong
economic trajectory bode exceptionally well for the real estate sector over the long-term. However there
are a number of short-term risks which will subdue yield growth over the coming quarters. Increased
interest rates to combat wider economic issues will see borrowing costs increase. This will subdue
consumer demand in the retail sector and will make the office and factory expansion plans under
consideration more expensive for companies to execute. Given that the slowdown in China will dim the
growth of Indonesia's economy, although not as much as some of it regional peers, we expect that rents will
remain broadly neutral as landlords fear increasing rents may drive out businesses. We do however see
opportunities for investors in new property, who may capitalise on lower prices, especially in the
government's special economic zones.
With a focus on the three principal areas of Jakarta, Bandung and Bali, the report examines how best to
maximise returns in the commercial real estate market while minimising investment risk and exploring the
impact of international headwinds on a market that has historically proven itself to be resilient. The key
potential growth areas driven by increasing activity on the part of international investors, favourable
fundamentals and the potential of the archipelago's consumption-driven economy are also explored,
alongside corporate growth strategies looking to both domestic and international channels for growth.
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