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Pakistan Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 60 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates
BMI View:

We have made some positive forecast revisions for Q416 due to the high growth in the mobile market and the 3G/4G adoption rate. We retain our positive outlook for the mobile market up to 2020. Mobilink's acquisition of Warid in August 2016 will put significant pressure on competitors, especially CMPak (Zong), which has few strategic options other than to proceed with a USD1bn investment in its mobile-only business. The deal would not create an excessively powerful player, but price competition is expected and the negative impact on ARPUs can only be offset by increased uptake of premium services. This will be difficult in the prepaid-centric market, but the merger will at least motivate reviews of current business strategies. Telenor has spent over USD390mn in acquiring spectrum in the 850MHz band to boost its 4G LTE services as it prepares for a new round of competition with chief rival Mobilink in the data usage category.

Latest Updates And Industry Developments

- 3G/4G mobile users totalled over 29.5mn at the end of H116, representing 22% of the total mobile market. Although increased use of non-voice services is reported, gains are neutralised by high taxes and termination rates as well as subsidised expansion into rural areas.

- Pakistan held another spectrum auction in June 2016, this time offering one block of paired 10MHz spectrum in the 850MHz band. Telenor emerged as the sole bidder paying an estimated USD395mn for the airwaves as it gears for renewed competition with chief rival Mobilink at a time when national data demand is surging.

Table Of Contents

Pakistan Telecommunications Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Telecoms 9
Industry Forecast 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Pakistan 2013-2020) 14
Industry Risk/Reward Index 15
Asia Pacific Risk/Reward Index 15
Table: APAC Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q416 17
Pakistan Risk/Reward Index 19
Market Overview 20
Market Drivers and Trends 20
Mobile 21
Table: 3G/4G Uptake Strong 24
Wireline Voice and Broadband 25
Regulatory Development 28
Regulatory Overview 28
Industry Risks 28
Main Development: Mobilink Completes Warid Merger 29
Additional Developments 30
Competitive Landscape 31
Table: Key Companies 31
Mobile Operator Data 31
Table: Mobile Market Overview 31
Table: Mobilink 32
Table: Telenor 33
Table: Ufone 35
Table: Zong 36
Table: Warid 36
Company Profile 37
Pakistan Telecommunication Company 37
Mobilink 40
Telenor Pakistan 43
Warid Telecom 46
Demographic Forecast 49
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Pakistan 1990-2025) 50
Table: Key Population Ratios (Pakistan 1990-2025) 50
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Pakistan 1990-2025) 51
Table: Population By Age Group (Pakistan 1990-2025) 51
Table: Population By Age Group % (Pakistan 1990-2025) 52
Glossary 54
Table: Glossary Of Terms 54
Methodology 56
Industry Forecast Methodology 56
Sources 58
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 58
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 59
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 60

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