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  4. > Philippines Power Report Q4 2016

Philippines Power Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 71 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

We expect robust growth in the power sector in the Philippines, with total generation expected to expand by an average of 4.8% during our 10-year forecast period to 2025. With recovery from the 2013 typhoon gathering pace, reasonable domestic economic growth and a range of new projects being announced, overall the future is looking positive for the Philippine power market.


Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- Notwithstanding the adverse effects that linger from Typhoon Haiyan that struck the Philippines in late 2013, we still expect to see growth in the longer term, with a range of projects including coal-fired plants and various renewable energy constructions in the pipeline. We forecast total electricity generation growth of 6.3% in 2016, reaching 80.9TWh. Further growth throughout the forecast period means total generation is expected to reach 122TWh by 2025.

- Thermal energy will continue to dominate the energy market in the Philippines, accounting for over 70% of total electricity generation through our forecast period. Healthy growth is expected across coal, natural gas and hydropower.

Table Of Contents

Philippines Power Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Philippines 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Philippines Snapshot 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Philippines 2015-2020) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Philippines 2020-2025) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 10
Philippines Power Forecast Scenario 11
Gas Generation And Capacity Forecasts 11
Coal Generation And Capacity Forecasts 12
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecasts 14
Nuclear Generation And Capacity Forecasts 15
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 16
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Philippines 2014-2019) 16
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Philippines 2020-2025) 17
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Philippines 2014-2019) 18
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Philippines 2020-2025) 19
Electricity Consumption 20
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Philippines 2014-2019) 21
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Philippines 2020-2025) 22
Transmission And Distribution, Imports And Exports 22
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Philippines 2014-2019) 24
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Philippines 2020-2025) 24
Industry Risk/Reward Index 25
Asia Power Risk Reward Index 25
Table: Power RRI By Country (Scores Out Of 100) 31
Philippines Power Risk/Reward Index 32
Rewards 32
Risks 32
Market Overview 33
Key Policies And Market Structure 33
Regulation And Competition 33
Sustainable Energy Policies 35
Pricing 35
Philippines Power Projects Database 37
Table: Philippines Power Projects Database 37
Competitive Landscape 52
Philippines Power Report Q4 2016$$
Napocor 53
The National Transmission Corporation (TransCo) 54
First Gen 55
Aboitiz Power 55
Ayala Corporation 56
Mirant 56
Meralco 57
EDC 58
AES 58
Regional Overview 59
Asia (Region) - Coal To Dominate, But Contribution To Slip 59
Table: Bmi's Japan Korea Marker Forecast 63
Glossary 65
Table: Glossary Of Terms 65
Methodology 66
Methodology And Sources 66
Industry Forecast Methodology 66
Sources 69
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 69
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 70
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 71

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