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  4. > Poland Power Report Q4 2016

Poland Power Report Q4 2016

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 67 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Poland's power sector will remain dominated by coal-fired generation across the comingdecade, as the country's PiS government continues to favour this strategically important sector over gasfiredgeneration and non-hydro renewables. Recently adopted punitive requirements for wind powerdevelopment reaffirm our view and will dampen investor interest. As such energy policies will continue todrive a wedge between Poland and the EU over emissions and environmental targets.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- While the share of coal-fired generation in the country's total energy mix is expected to downtick from78.9% in 2015 to around 75.4% in 2025, Poland will remain overwhelmingly dependent on this fuel forpower generation.

- In late June 2016, the Polish President Andrzej Duda signed amendments to the Act on RenewableEnergy Sources and Act on Windfarms, which notably reduce state support for the development ofrenewable energy and impose tight restrictions on new wind power developments.

- As such, we hold our subdued growth forecast for Poland's non-hydro renewables generation. We nowbelieve non-hydro renewables generation will average 3.4% expansion in the next 10 years, contributing18.1% to the total power mix in 2025 (up from 15.6% in 2015).

Table Of Contents

Poland Power Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Poland 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Poland Snapshot 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Poland 2015-2020) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Poland 2020-2025) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 10
Poland Power Forecast Scenario 11
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 11
Table: Questions Remain Over Plans For New Coal 13
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Poland 2014-2019) 22
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Poland 2020-2025) 23
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Poland 2014-2019) 24
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Poland 2020-2025) 24
Consumption 25
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Poland 2014-2019) 26
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Poland 2020-2025) 27
Transmission And Distribution, Imports And Exports 27
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Poland 2014-2019) 28
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Poland 2020-2025) 28
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Poland 2014-2019) 28
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Poland 2020-2025) 28
Industry Risk/Reward Index 29
Poland Power Risk/Reward Index 36
Rewards 36
Risks 36
Market Overview 38
Sustainable Energy Policy And Infrastructure 38
Regulation And Competition 38
Table: Proposed EU 2030 Energy And Climate Targets 39
Sustainable Energy Policies 40
Poland Power Projects Database 41
Competitive Landscape 44
Tauron 45
PGE/PSE 46
ENEA 46
Energa 47
RWE/STOEN 47
Electrabel 47
Company Profile 48
Polska Grupa Energetyczna (PGE) 48
Regional Overview 54
Glossary 61
Table: Glossary Of Terms 61
Methodology 62
Methodology And Sources 62
Industry Forecast Methodology 62
Sources 65
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 65
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 66
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 67

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