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Slovenia Oil and Gas Report Q4 2016

  • September 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 57 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View: Slovenia's upstream sector remains close to inexistent, with little to no oil or gas production within our forecast period. While there is upside risk in the gas segment attributed to the Ascentoperated Petišovci tight gas project, the initiative faces continued regulatory and funding headwinds. Overall volumes are likely to be relatively modest in the case of project realisation, with imported Russian gas set to dominate supply for the foreseeable future.

The main trends and developments in Slovenia's oil and gas sector are:
- There is evidence of commercial gas deposits close to the Hungarian border that can be exploited for power generation purposes. However, given project delays, we do not include it within our reserves or
production forecast. The country's upstream reserves currently remain extremely limited.
- Slovenian natural gas production will remain limited throughout our forecast period, thanks to the lack of upstream development in the country. While the long-delayed Petišovci project poses upside risk to our
forecast, we maintain our more modest outlook, given continued financial and regulatory delays associated with the initiative.

Table Of Contents

Slovenia Oil and Gas Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Slovenia 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 10
Upstream Exploration 10
Upstream Production - Oil 11
Upstream Production - Gas 12
Latest Updates 12
Structural Trends 12
Table: Gas Production (Slovenia 2014-2019) 15
Table: Gas Production (Slovenia 2020-2025) 16
Refining 17
Refined Fuels Consumption 18
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Slovenia 2014-2019) 19
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Slovenia 2020-2025) 19
Gas Consumption 20
Table: Gas Consumption (Slovenia 2014-2019) 21
Table: Gas Consumption (Slovenia 2020-2025) 21
Trade - Oil 22
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Slovenia 2014-2019) 23
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Slovenia 2020-2025) 24
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 25
Latest Updates 25
Table: Gas Net Exports (Slovenia 2014-2019) 26
Table: Gas Net Exports (Slovenia 2020-2025) 27
Industry Risk Reward Index 28
Central And Eastern Europe Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 28
Table: CEE: High Risk, Low Reward 28
Table: CEE Upstream, Downstream And Overall Risk/Reward Indices 29
Table: CEE Upstream Risk/Reward Index 32
Downstream: Turkish STAR Only Bright Spot In Weak Market 32
Table: CEE Downstream Risk/Reward Index 35
Slovenia - Risk/Reward Index 36
Slovenia Upstream Score - Overview 36
Slovenia Upstream Score - Rewards 36
Slovenia Upstream Score - Risks 36
Slovenia Downstream Score - Overview 37
Market Overview 38
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 38
Oil Refineries 38
Table: Refineries In Slovenia 38
Service Stations 38
Oil Storage Facilities 38
Oil Terminals/Ports 38
Oil Pipelines 39
Gas Pipelines 39
Competitive Landscape 41
Competitive Landscape Summary 41
Table: Key Downstream Players 42
Regional Overview 43
Central And Eastern Europe Oil and Gas Regional Overview 43
Oil Production: Oil Powerhouses Falter On Weak Prices 43
Oil Consumption: Short-Term Weakness As Russia Struggles 44
Refining Capacity: Modernisation Key To Competing 45
Natural Gas Production: Gas Ramp-Up Demand-Dependent 46
Table: Central Asia-China Gas Pipeline Expansions 47
Gas Consumption: Demand Falters On Struggling Economies 48
Table: Central and Eastern Europe Oil and Gas Production and Consumption, Refining Capacity and Trade 49
Glossary 50
Table: Glossary Of Terms 50
Methodology 52
Industry Forecast Methodology 52
Source 54
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 54
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 56
Table: Weighting 57

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