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United Kingdom Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

  • July 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 65 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: As the European telecoms sector is closely modelled on the UK regime, we anticipate littleimpact on the domestic market for retail and wholesale voice, data, broadband and pay-TV services to arisefrom the country's potential withdrawal from the European Union. A post-'Brexit' competitive landscapewould be little changed as the major players are already UK-focused while the regulator's long-term viewof market development does not differ from the views of the European Commission. That said, the greatestimpact is likely to come at the regulatory level, as future UK governments are expected to take a morenuanced approach to overseeing issues such as data sovereignty, net neutrality and consumer privacy. Thedownside is that lower targets could be set by the government with respect to 'digital inclusion' initiativessuch as rural broadband coverage, possibly putting the UK even further behind its European peers. Theloss of valuable European Commission financing for such projects would accentuate that risk.

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

- The terms of the UK's future relationship with the European Single Market are yet to be decided; UKoperators' involvement in the European Digital Single Market will likely continue, given the importanceof the UK as a technology research hub, its very attractive datacentre industry and access to key globalinternational submarine cable systems. At the local level, little will change as the UK and Europeanregulators effectively operate to very similar industry development models.

- We anticipate little in the way of a slowdown in voice and broadband usage as these services have, in thepast, proven to be largely resilient to economic downturns and recessions such as those that might occurin the lead-up to and wake of 'Brexit'.

- BMI estimates the UK mobile market ended Q116 with 78.39mn subscribers, a y-o-y growth of just0.9%. There were 29.96mn broadband subscribers in Q315, of which 24.4mn were fixed. Out of those,BT had a 32.3% market share.

Table Of Contents

United Kingdom Telecommunications Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 10
Latest Updates 10
Structural Trends 11
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (United Kingdom 2013-2020) 14
Industry Risk/Reward Index 16
Table: Western Europe Risk/Reward Index, Q4 2016 18
United Kingdom Risk/Reward Index 18
Market Overview 20
Market Drivers and Trends 20
Mobile 22
Wireline Voice and Broadband 25
Pay TV/Convergence 28
Regulatory Development 30
Industry Risks 30
Main Development: 3/O2 And BT-EE Merger Deals 31
Main Development: The UK Votes To Withdraw From The European Union 32
Additional Developments 33
Competitive Landscape 35
Table: Key Players - Telecoms Sector 35
Table: Mobile Market Overview 35
Operator Data 36
Table: O2 36
Table: Vodafone 37
Table: EE 38
Table: 3 40
Company Profile 41
BT 41
EE 45
O2 48
Vodafone 51
Demographic Forecast 54
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 55
Table: Key Population Ratios (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 55
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 56
Table: Population By Age Group (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 56
Table: Population By Age Group % (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 57
Glossary 59
Table: Glossary Of Terms 59
Methodology 61
Industry Forecast Methodology 61
Sources 63
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 63
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 64
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 65

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