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United States Oil and Gas Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 171 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:
The US will lead gains in non-OPEC crude oil production over the next decade despite the fall in oil prices. High growth rates seen in recent years will moderate through our 10-year forecast period, reflecting abrupt depletion rates in shale oil fields, a glut in the domestic market for light sweet crude and lower oil prices dampening a portion of upstream investment. Fuels consumption growth will temper over the next decade as efficiency gains take root. In the gas market, we forecast a ramp-up in production as new LNG export facilities and petrochemical plants come online.
Latest Updates And Key Forecast
s

- As the US market continues to rebalance, operators and oilfield service (OFS) providers await a more pronounced recovery in oil prices that would persuade an uptick in upstream activity. After a volatile H116, benchmark prices are now expected to stabilise above the USD40/bbl mark for the remainder of the year, encouraging shale developers to reassess, and eventually increase their investment plans for the first time since the downturn.

- Job cuts and the limited number of high horsepower rigs will limit the strength of US onshore production growth once oil prices recover. Improving oil prices will contend with rising drilling and completion costs as OFS providers capitalise on growing demand to mend their respective balance sheets. We maintain our view that production growth will return in 2017 on the back of rising unconventional production, but at a more modest pace than in years prior.

Table Of Contents

United States Oil and Gas Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (United States 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Oil and Gas SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Upstream Exploration 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Upstream Projects 17
Table: US - Major Upstream Projects 17
Upstream Production - Oil 33
Latest Updates 33
Structural Trends 33
Table: Oil Production (United States 2014-2019) 46
Table: Oil Production (United States 2020-2025) 46
Upstream Production - Gas 47
Latest Updates 47
Structural Trends 47
Table: Gas Production (United States 2014-2019) 51
Table: Gas Production (United States 2020-2025) 51
Refining 52
Latest Updates 52
Structural Trends 52
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (United States 2014-2019) 55
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (United States 2020-2025) 56
Refined Fuels Consumption 57
Latest Updates 57
Structural Trends 57
Table: Final Renewable Fuel Volumes 62
Table: Refined Products Consumption (United States 2014-2019) 63
Table: Refined Products Consumption (United States 2020-2025) 64
Gas Consumption 65
Latest Updates 65
Structural Trends 65
Table: Gas Consumption (United States 2014-2019) 69
Table: Gas Consumption (United States 2020-2025) 69
Trade - Oil 70
Crude Oil 70
Latest Updates 70
Structural Trends 70
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (United States 2014-2020) 72
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (United States 2020-2025) 73
Refined Products 73
Latest Updates 73
Structural Trends 73
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (United States 2014-2019) 75
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (United States 2020-2025) 75
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 76
Latest Updates 76
Structural Trends 76
Table: US - LNG Liquefaction Facility Timeline 78
Table: Gas Net Exports (United States 2014-2019) 82
Table: Gas Net Exports (United States 2020-2025) 82
Industry Risk/Reward Index 83
North America And Western Europe Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 83
Table: North America and Western Europe Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 83
Upstream Rankings: Resource Base Will Keep North America Well Ahead 84
Resource Limitations Take Toll On Western Europe 85
Table: North America and Western Europe Upstream Risk/Reward Index 87
Downstream Rankings: US Widens Its Lead 87
Table: North America and Western Europe Downstream Risk/Reward Index 89
Unites States - Risk/Reward Index 90
Upstream Index 90
Downstream Index 91
Market Overview 92
United States Energy Market Overview 92
Licensing And Regulation 92
Regulatory Policy 95
Licensing Rounds 101
Table: Total BOEM Acreage To Be Offered 2012-2017 101
International Energy Relations 103
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 105
Oil Refineries 105
Table: New US Refineries 107
Table: 2014 Refinery Expansions 109
Table: Refineries In the US 110
Service Stations 116
Oil Storage Facilities 116
Oil Terminals 116
Oil Pipelines 117
Table: US Crude Oil Pipelines Online/Planned, 2012-2014 118
LNG Terminals 121
Table: LNG Terminals In the US 121
Table: US LNG Export Terminal Projects 126
Gas Storage Facilities 127
Gas Pipelines 127
Table: New Natural Gas Pipelines 129
Competitive Landscape 133
Competitive Landscape Summary 133
Table: Key Upstream Players 133
Table: Key Downstream Players 133
Company Profile 135
BP America 135
Table: Table - Key Assets in the US 136
Table: Table - Key Financial Metrics (USDmn) 137
Chevron 138
Table: Table - Major Assets in the US 139
Table: Table - Key Financial Metrics (USDmn) 140
ConocoPhillips 141
Table: Table - Major Upstream Assets in the US 142
Table: Table - Key Financial Metrics (USDmn) 142
ExxonMobil 144
Table: Table - Key Upstream Assets in the US 145
Table: Table - Key Financial Metrics (USDmn) 146
Shell USA 147
Table: Table - Major Assets In The US 149
Table: Table - Key Financial Metrics (USDmn) 149
Regional Overview 151
North America And Western Europe Oil And Gas Regional Overview 151
Table: North America - Key Regional Indicators, 2015-2025 160
Table: Western Europe - Key Regional Indicators, 2015-2025 162
Glossary 164
Table: Glossary Of Terms 164
Methodology 166
Industry Forecast Methodology 166
Source 168
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 168
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 170
Table: Weighting 171

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