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Summary
The Mexican defense market will be driven by the ongoing modernization and upgrade of military equipment such as military transport aircraft, multi-utility helicopters, and naval vessels, as well as the country's efforts to combat the increasing level of drug trafficking. Also the capital expenditure allocation is anticipated to average 10.3% of the total defense budget during 2016-2020 and procurement of defense equipment are expected to be in the areas of multi-role aircraft, military helicopters, corvettes, and transport aircraft.

Key Findings
- During 2011-2015, Mexican defense expenditure registered a growth rate of 4.08%, increasing from US$5.5 billion in 2011 to US$6.5 billion in 2015

- Military expenditure is anticipated to register a CAGR of 7.25% during 2016-2020, to value US$9.2 billion in 2020

- The ongoing modernization, which has led to the upgrade of military equipment, along with country's efforts to combat the increasing level of drug trafficking is expected to drive defense expenditure over the forecast period

- Demand for equipment is mainly expected to revolve around multi-role aircraft, military helicopters, corvettes, and transport aircraft during 2016-2020

Synopsis
Strategic Defense Intelligence's report - Future of the Mexican Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020 offers detailed analysis of the industry with market size forecasts from 2016-2020. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand in the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:

- Defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the defense industry during 2016-2020, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators. It also provides a snapshot of the country's expenditure and modernization patterns

- Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country

- Porter's Five Force analysis of the defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry

- Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country's imports and exports over the last five years

- Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities from 2015 to 2025

- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: including an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

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Table Of Contents

Future of the Mexican Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020
Table of Contents
1 Introduction
1.1. What is this Report About?
1.2. Definitions
1.3. Summary Methodology
1.4. SDI Terrorism Index
1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence
2 Executive Summary
3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.1.1. Defense expenditure is projected to grow at a CAGR of 7.25% during 2016-2020
3.1.2. The government's fight against drug trafficking to drive defense expenditure in the forecast period
3.1.3. Defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP estimated to increase over the forecast period
3.1.4. Per capita defense expenditure forecast to increase over the forecast period
3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.2.1. Share of capital expenditure to average 10.3% during the forecast period
3.2.2. Mexican defense capital expenditure is expected to grow at a CAGR of 11.13% during the forecast period
3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.3.1. Homeland security expenditure is anticipated to increase at a CAGR of 7.34% during the forecast period
3.3.2. Organized crime and money laundering to drive the HLS market
3.3.3. Mexico considered at ‘some risk' of terrorist attack
3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.4.1. Mexico's defense budget expected to increase over the forecast period
3.4.2. Mexico's military expenditure is limited compared to countries with the largest defense expenditures
3.4.3. Mexico allocates a low percentage of GDP to defense
3.4.4. Mexico suffers “some risk” level of terrorist activity
3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
3.5.1. Multi-role Aircraft
3.5.2. Military Helicopters
3.5.3. Corvettes
3.5.4. Transport Aircraft
4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1. Import Market Dynamics
4.1.1. Limited domestic defense capabilities drives the country's defense imports
4.1.2. The US was a major arms supplier to Mexico during 2010-2014
4.1.3. Aircraft to dominate Mexican defense imports
4.2. Export Market Dynamics
4.2.1. Mexico does not export arms due to an underdeveloped domestic arms industry
5 Industry Dynamics
5.1. Five Forces Analysis
5.1.1. Bargaining power of the supplier: low
5.1.2. Bargaining power of the buyer: medium
5.1.3. Barriers to entry: low
5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: low
5.1.5. Threat of substitution: medium to high
6 Market Entry Strategy
6.1. Market Regulation
6.1.1. Mexico has not disclosed any offset obligations
6.1.2. Mexico allows 100% FDI in defense industry
6.2. Market Entry Route
6.2.1. Foreign OEMs prefer direct selling to enter the market
6.2.2. Military collaborations provide good market entry opportunities
6.3. Key Challenges
6.3.1. Corruption and lack of transparency impedes the growth of Mexico's defense industry
6.3.2. Lack of domestic defense technological know-how acts as a deterrent to market entry
7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview
7.2. Key Domestic Companies
7.2.1. Productos Mendoza: overview
7.2.2. Productos Mendoza: products
7.2.3. Aviabaltika de Mexico Company: overview
7.2.4. Aviabaltika de Mexico Company: products and services
8 Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1. Demographics and Social Statistics
8.1.1. Total Rural Population
8.1.2. Total Urban Population
8.1.3. Number of households
8.2. Economic Performance
8.2.1. GDP Per Capita
8.2.2. GDP, Current Prices
8.2.3. Consumer Price Index
8.2.4. Wholesale Price Index
8.2.5. Local Currency Unit per Euro
8.2.6. Lending Rate
8.2.7. Real Interest Rate
8.2.8. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies
8.2.9. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP)
8.2.10. Goods exports as % of GDP
8.2.11. Goods imports as % of GDP
8.2.12. Goods Trade Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP
8.2.13. Service Imports as % of GDP
8.2.14. Service Exports as % of GDP
8.2.15. Service Trade Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP
8.2.16. Foreign Direct Investment
8.2.17. Net foreign direct investment as % of GDP
8.2.18. International reserves, including gold
8.3. Energy and Utilities
8.3.1. Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation
8.3.2. Hydroelectricity Net Generation
8.3.3. Nuclear Electricity Net Generation
8.3.4. Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity
8.3.5. Electricity Exports
8.3.6. Electricity Imports
8.3.7. Proved Natural Gas Reserves
8.3.8. Petroleum Consumption
8.4. Infrastructure
8.4.1. Air transport, freight
8.5. Minerals
8.5.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output
8.6. Technology
8.6.1. Patents Granted
8.7. Telecommunication
8.7.1. Telephone Lines
8.7.2. Telephone Lines Penetration Rate
9 Appendix
9.1. About SDI
9.2. Disclaimer

List of Tables
Table 1: Mexican Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
Table 2: Mexican Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
Table 3: Mexican Defense Expenditure (in MXN billion), 2011-2015
Table 4: Mexican Defense Expenditure (in MXN billion), 2016-2020
Table 5: Mexican GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP, 2011-2015
Table 6: Mexican GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP, 2016-2020
Table 7: Mexican Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2011-2015
Table 8: Mexican Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2016-2020
Table 9: Mexican Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2011-2015
Table 10: Mexican Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2016-2020
Table 11: Mexican Capital Budget Allocation (US$ Million), 2011-2015
Table 12: Mexican Capital Budget Allocation (US$ Million), 2016-2020
Table 13: Mexican Capital Budget Allocation (MXN Billion), 2011-2015
Table 14: Mexican Capital Budget Allocation (MXN Billion), 2016-2020
Table 15: Mexican Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2011-2015
Table 16: Mexican Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2016-2020
Table 17: Mexican Homeland Security Budget (MXN Billion), 2011-2015
Table 18: Mexican Homeland Security Budget (MXN Billion), 2016-2020
Table 19: Benchmarking with Key Markets, 2011-2015 vs. 2016-2020
Table20: SDI Terrorism Index
Table 21: Productos Mendoza - Product Focus
Table 22: Aviabaltika de Mexico Company - Products and Services

List of Figures
Figure 1: Mexican Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
Figure 2: Mexican Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
Figure 3: Mexican Defense Expenditure (in MXN billion), 2011-2015
Figure 4: Mexican Defense Expenditure (in MXN billion), 2016-2020
Figure 5: Mexican GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP, 2011-2015
Figure 6: Mexican GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP, 2016-2020
Figure 7: Mexican Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2011-2015
Figure 8: Mexican Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2016-2020
Figure 9: Mexican Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2011-2015
Figure 10: Mexican Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2016-2020
Figure 11: Mexican Capital Budget Allocation (US$ Million), 2011-2015
Figure 12: Mexican Capital Budget Allocation (US$ Million), 2016-2020
Figure 13: Mexican Capital Budget Allocation (MXN Billion), 2011-2015
Figure 14: Mexican Capital Budget Allocation (MXN Billion), 2016-2020
Figure 15: Mexican Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2011-2015
Figure 16: Mexican Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2016-2020
Figure 17: Mexican Homeland Security Budget (MXN Billion), 2011-2015
Figure 18: Mexican Homeland Security Budget (MXN Billion), 2016-2020
Figure 19: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2015
Figure 20: SDI Terrorism Index, 2015
Figure 21: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2011-2015 vs. 2016-2020
Figure 22: Defense Expenditure of the World's Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion), 2015 and 2020
Figure 23: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2015
Figure 24: Multi-role Aircraft Market Size (US$ Million), 2015-2025
Figure 25: Military Helicopter Market Size (US$ Million), 2015-2025
Figure 26: Corvettes Market Size (US$ Million), 2015-2025
Figure 27: Transport Aircraft Market Size (US$ Million), 2015-2025
Figure 28: Mexican Defense Imports (TIV values) 2010-2014
Figure 29: Mexican Defense Imports by Country (%), 2010-2014
Figure 30: Mexican Defense Imports by Category (%), 2010-2014
Figure 31: Industry Dynamics Porter's Five Forces Analysis
Figure 32: Mexican Rural Population (In Millions), 2015-2024
Figure 33: Mexican Urban Population (In Millions), 2015-2024
Figure 34: Mexican Number of Households (In Millions), 2008-2017
Figure 35: Mexican GDP Per Capita, 2015-2024
Figure 36: Mexican GDP, Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2015-2024
Figure 37: Mexican Consumer Price Index, 2015-2024
Figure 38: Mexican Wholesale Price Index, 2003-2012
Figure 39: Local Currency per Euro, 2015-2024
Figure 40: Lending Rate, 2003-2012
Figure 41: Real Interest Rate, 2003-2012
Figure 42: Mexican Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (US$ Billion), 2003-2012
Figure 43: Mexican Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP), 2002-2011
Figure 44: Mexican Goods Exports as % of GDP, 2002-2011
Figure 45: Mexican Goods Imports as % of GDP, 2002-2011
Figure 46: Mexican Goods Trade Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP, 2002-2011
Figure 47: Mexican Service Imports as % of GDP, 2002-2011
Figure 48: Mexican Service Exports as % of GDP, 2002-2011
Figure 49: Mexican Service Trade Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP, 2002-2011
Figure 50: Mexican Foreign Direct Investment (US$ Billion), 2002-2011
Figure 51: Mexican Net foreign direct investment as % of GDP, 2002-2011
Figure 52: Mexican International reserves, including gold (US$ Billion), 2002-2011
Figure 53: Mexican Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2002-2011
Figure 54: Mexican Hydroelectricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2003-2012
Figure 55: Mexican Nuclear Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2003-2012
Figure 56: Mexican Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity (Million Kilowatts), 2001-2010
Figure 57: Mexican Electricity Exports (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2003-2012
Figure 58: Mexican Electricity Imports (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2003-2012
Figure 59: Mexican Proved Natural Gas Reserves (Trillion Cubic Feet), 2004-2013
Figure 60: Mexican Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels Per Day), 2003-2012
Figure 61: Mexican Air transport freight (million ton-km), 2002-2011
Figure 62: Mexican Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (US$ Billion), 2003-2012
Figure 63: Mexican Patents Granted, 2003-2012
Figure 64: Mexican Telephone Lines (In Million), 2003-2012
Figure 65: Mexican Telephone Lines Penetration Rate (Per 100 People), 2003-2012

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