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  5. > Nordics Renewables Report Q4 2015

Nordics Renewables Report Q4 2015

  • August 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 57 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We have revised down our forecasts for non-hydro renewables power in the Nordics this
quarter, as Denmark will face problems in integrating additional intermittent wind power to the grid due to its saturated power market and high wind penetration, Swedish energy policy uncertainty mutes investor interest in country's sector and Finland suffers from a relatively weak macroeconomic outlook whilst continuing to aim for a nuclear expansion. We highlight that there are upside risks to our muted growth forecasts in all markets, as better interconnections capacity coupled with a smarter power grid will enable continued wind growth in Denmark, a planned Swedish nuclear phase-down gaining traction will create a hole in the country's power mix that is likely to be plugged by non-hydropower renewables, while momentum could pick up for biomass in Finland under the newly elected Prime Minister Juha Sipilä's attempts to reinvigorate the country's forestry industry.

Key Trends And Developments

- In June 2015, The European Investment Bank (EIB) and Finnish forest industry group Metsä Group's parent firm Metsäliitto Cooperative signed a loan agreement to build a large-scale bio-product mill in Äänekoski, Finland. As part of the new loan agreement, EIB, which offered a separate EUR200mn (USD227.6mn) loan earlier, will offer EUR75mn (USD85.3mn) to Metsä Group's subsidiary Metsä Fibre Corporation to build the bio-product mill.

Table Of Contents

Nordics Renewables Report Q4 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Denmark Renewables Forecast Scenario 11
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Denmark 2013-2018) 11
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Denmark 2019-2024) 12
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Denmark 2013-2018) 14
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Denmark 2019-2024) 15
Denmark Renewables Projects Database 20
Table: Denmark Renewables Key Projects 20
Finland Renewables Forecast Scenario 21
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Finland 2013-2018) 21
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Finland 2019-2024) 22
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Finland 2013-2018) 24
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Finland 2019-2024) 25
Finland Renewables Projects Database 29
Table: Finland Renewables Key Projects 29
Sweden Renewables Forecast Scenario 31
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Sweden 2013-2018) 31
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Sweden 2019-2024) 32
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Sweden 2013-2018) 34
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Sweden 2019-2024) 35
Sweden Renewables Projects Database 39
Table: Sweden Renewables Key Projects 39
Industry Risk Reward Index 41
Nordics Renewables Risk/Reward Index 41
Rewards 41
Risks 42
Market Overview 43
Sustainable Energy Policy And Infrastructure 43
Targets (Renewables And Emissions) 43
Subsidies 44
Table: Denmark's Renewable Feed-In Tariffs, 2012 44
Table: Finland's Renewable Feed-In Tariffs, 2011 45
Infrastructure 46
Competitive Landscape 48
Dong Energy 48
Vattenfall 49
EON 49
Vestas 49
Energinetdk 50
Glossary 51
Table: Glossary Of Terms 51
Methodology 52
Methodology And Sources 52
Industry Forecast Methodology 52
Sources 54
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 54
Table: Renewables Risk/Reward Index Indicators 56
Table: Weighting Indicators 57

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