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Analysis of the U.S. DoD and Civil Helicopter Markets

  • July 2013
  • -
  • Frost & Sullivan
  • -
  • 146 pages

Summary

Table of Contents

The Civil Market Flourishes as the Defense Market Suffers from Budget Pressures

As the DoD's discretionary spending continues to decrease, upgrading and/or remanufacturing helicopters has gained favour over developing entirely new rotorcraft systems. However, a modest global economic recovery following the great recession and a limited supply of used airframes have resulted in a significant increase in new US civil helicopter unit demand. This research service analyzes US DoD and civil helicopter market drivers, restraints, and trends through 2018 and 2020 respectively and then makes educated predictions beyond the forecast period.

Executive Summary

•The 2014 Department of Defense (DoD) budget request is $X billion. The President’s Budget (PB) includes $X billion for overseas contingency operations (OCO) funding.
•In 2014, helicopters should account for about X% of the DoD budget. Procurement spending will decrease significantly over the forecast period while research, development, testing, and evaluation (RDT&E) spending will remain relatively constant.
•Military helicopter funding through 2018 is forecasted to experience a negative X% compound annual growth rate (CAGR).
•The Navy is forecast to spend $X billion on military helicopters in 2013 which slightly outpaces the $X billion the Army is expected to spend.
•Assault/Transport is the helicopter segment with the largest 2014 budget request, at $X billion.
•In 2012, the DoD awarded $X billion toX companies in the helicopter market. Boeing was the top competitor in the market with $X billion in contracts followed closely by United Technologies (UTX) with $Xbillion in contracts.
•The topXDoD market competitors were responsible for a commanding X% of market spending in 2012 compared to X% in 2011.
•The US market for new civil helicopter platforms is expected to increase over the next few years to recapitalize an aging fleet. This recapitalization was slowed by the Great Recession and much growth in new helicopter sales can be attributed to improving economic conditions.
•In 2012, Eurocopter delivered the most helicopters to the US civil market.
•As the top two manufacturers, Eurocopter and Bell were very close in revenue generated during 2012.
•The ultra-light helicopters segment will account for the most commercial units sold over the forecast period. Single-engine turbine helicopters, which include the light single-engine and ultra-light segments, will account for more than X% of all platforms sold.
•Through 2020, the most market revenue will likely be generated in the intermediate helicopter segment due to a combination of cost per platform and demand from the oil and gas industry.
•The top 5 civil helicopter manufacturers accounted for X% of US sales in 2012.

CEO’s Perspective

1. The DoD helicopter budget is forecast to decrease significantly over the forecast period. Spending on civil rotorcraft is expected to increase steadily.
2. Military budget constraints will continue to drive the trend of upgrading or remanufacturing current platforms. Furthermore, new programs will consider commercial-off-the-shelf (COTS) aircraft rather than developing new aircraft from the ground up.
3. In both the civil and military markets, end users are focusing on total life cycle costs rather than acquisition costs.
4. Competition in most civil helicopter segments will increase as new, efficient platforms gain Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) certification in the next few years.

Key Questions This Study Will Answer

• Are the DoD and civil helicopter markets growing, how long will they continue to grow, and at what rate?
• What segments, technologies, and services make up the markets?
• What are the leading drivers, restraints, and trends for each market?
• What are the top programs/platforms for the DoD and civil helicopter markets?
• What technologies and services will be emphasized?
• What companies are leading each market?

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