Semi Autonomous Market For Passenger Car By Type (Adaptive Cruise Control, Lane Keep Assist, Autonomous Park Assist & Adaptive Lights), By Technology, By Geography, & Autonomous Car (Qualitative Trends & Technologies) – Global Trends & Forecast To 2018

Automotive industry was one of the key industries affected by the economic downturn in 2008 (global sales 68.1 million units) and 2009 (global sales 65.4 million units). However, the scenario has changed since 2010 (global sales 74.6 million units). This upward trend continued in 2011 and 2012. The present global demand for automobiles is increasing at a significant rate, indicating the pace at which the industry is heading out of the recovery phase. As stated in the recent publication of Organisation Internationale des Constructeurs d’ Automobiles (OICA), the global vehicle sales in 2012 reached to 81.7 million units, of which, passenger car sales were 60.5 million units. With the escalation in the vehicle fleet all over the globe, there is an increase in the number of road accidents, casualties, and deaths. In addition, the increase in the global vehicle fleet is increasing exhaust emissions, and thereby greenhouse gases (GHGs). Thus, challenging environmental regulations.

According to the WHO’s Global Status Report on Road Safety (2013), total number of deaths due to road accidents is 1.24 million per year. This has diverted the focus of governments and automobile manufacturers towards R&D of the near-autonomous and autonomous car features/systems. The governmental agencies are studying various vehicle safety features for their feasibility, some of which would be included as mandates in the upcoming safety regulations across the world. The automobile manufacturers have started focusing on the manufacture of passenger cars installed with advanced safety features. Investments in the R&D centers, collaborations with the technology manufacturers and launching new passenger cars with default safety features are indicative of the same.

According to a group of industry experts, a near-autonomous or an autonomous vehicle is the common solution for all these aforesaid concerns. The term ‘near-autonomous’ or ‘autonomous’ is not confined to just vehicle safety. However, the scope has been broadened to passengers, pedestrians and overall road safety. As these cars are automated, they will drive and direct themselves without human manipulation, in response to the external conditions, hence leading to a decrease in chances of accidents. Near-autonomous or autonomous driving would also lead to better fuel efficiency and reduction in GHG emissions. However, autonomous cars are either in their R&D stage or available in prototypes.

SCOPE OF THE REPORT

The near-autonomous cars have proven their safety and other benefits over the normal passenger cars. The factors such as improved lifestyle, changing buyer’s preferences, increased average miles driven per year and increase in the development of compatible infrastructure has increased the need for near-autonomous cars. In addition to aforesaid reasons, due to changing governmental safety regulations, various safety features are installed in vehicles from manufacturers as OEM. This trend is estimated to continue in the next five years, where maximum number of vehicles would be available with pre-installed near-autonomous features.

The autonomous vehicle is any vehicle capable of sensing the external environment with the help of technological systems installed (such as GPS-Satellite, mobile infrastructure, data from other cars or roadside features etc.) and navigate the car to the desired destination with minimal human intervention. They are also known as driverless cars or self-driving cars, informally. The vehicle automation involves multidisciplinary streams of engineering such as mechanical, electrical, control and computer in combination with artificial intelligence. The fundamental reasons such as increasing concerns about vehicle & road safety, increasing traffic congestion, volatile fuel prices, stringent environmental regulations, changing buyer’s preferences as a result of improved lifestyles etc., have diverted the attention of governments as well as automotive manufacturers, towards autonomous cars. According to some of the industry experts and studies, driver error is the most common reason for accidents, and hence autonomous cars are said to be the best solution. These cars can be used on sharing basis, as taxis, thus, reducing traffic load, and increasing road capacity. There would be removal of redundant passenger – driver as the car is autonomous.

The penetration of near-autonomous and autonomous passenger cars would majorly depend on the technological advancements; cost effectiveness of the technology, public awareness, acceptance of the technology, and legal aspects of these technologies such as safety regulations, vehicular mandates etc.


Table Of Contents

1 INTRODUCTION 19-40

1.1 KEY TAKE-AWAYS
1.2 REPORT DESCRIPTION
1.2.1 REPORT CATALYST
1.2.2 REPORT STRUCTURE
1.3 GLANCE AT THE MARKETS
1.3.1 NEAR-AUTONOMOUS PASSENGER CAR MARKET
1.3.1.1 By Geography
1.3.1.2 By Types
1.3.1.3 By Technologies
1.3.2 AUTONOMOUS PASSENGER CARS
1.4 STAKEHOLDERS
1.5 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
1.5.1 AUTONOMOUS PASSENGER CARS
1.5.2 KEY DATA POINTS TAKEN FROM SECONDARY SOURCES
1.5.3 KEY DATA POINTS TAKEN FROM PRIMARY SOURCES
1.5.4 ASSUMPTIONS MADE FOR THIS REPORT
1.6 KEY QUESTIONS ANSWERED

2 MARKET OVERVIEW 42-53

2.1 INTRODUCTION
2.2 DRIVERS and RESTRAINTS
2.3 IMPACT ANALYSIS
2.4 PESTLE ANALYSIS
2.5 PORTERS ANALYSIS
2.6 VALUE CHAIN
2.7 MANUFACTURERS and SUPPLIERS
2.8 MAJOR PLAYERS
2.9 MARKET SHARE
2.10 TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP

3 NEAR-AUTONOMOUS PASSENGER CAR MARKET,BY GEOGRAPHY 55 -67

3.1 INTRODUCTION
3.2 NEAR-AUTONOMOUS PASSENGER CAR MARKET VOLUME AND REVENUE, BY GEOGRAPHY
3.3 ASIA-PACIFIC: NEAR-AUTONOMOUS PASSENGER CAR, MARKET VOLUME
3.4 ASIA-PACIFIC: NEAR-AUTONOMOUS PASSENGER CAR, MARKET REVENUE
3.5 EUROPE: NEAR-AUTONOMOUS PASSENGER CAR, MARKET VOLUME
3.6 EUROPE: NEAR-AUTONOMOUS PASSENGER CAR, MARKET REVENUE
3.7 AMERICAS: NEAR-AUTONOMOUS PASSENGER CAR, MARKET VOLUME
3.8 AMERICAS: NEAR-AUTONOMOUS PASSENGER CAR, MARKET REVENUE
3.9 MEA: NEAR-AUTONOMOUS PASSENGER CAR, MARKET VOLUME
3.10 MEA: NEAR-AUTONOMOUS PASSENGER CAR, MARKET REVENUE

4 NEAR-AUTONOMOUS PASSENGER CAR MARKET, BY TYPES 69-75

4.1 INTRODUCTION
4.2 NEAR-AUTONOMOUS PASSENGER CAR, MARKET REVENUE, BY TYPES
4.3 ACC: MARKET REVENUE, BY GEOGRAPHY
4.4 LANE KEEP ASSIST: MARKET REVENUE, BY GEOGRAPHY
4.5 AUTONOMOUS PARK ASSIST: MARKET REVENUE, BY GEOGRAPHY
4.6 ADAPTIVE FRONT LIGHT: MARKET REVENUE, BY GEOGRAPHY

5 NEAR-AUTONOMOUS PASSENGER CAR MARKET, BY TECHNOLOGIES 77-85

5.1 INTRODUCTION
5.2 NEAR-AUTONOMOUS PASSENGER CAR, MARKET VOLUME, BY TECHNOLOGIES
5.3 ULTRASONIC SENSORS: MARKET VOLUME, BY GEOGRAPHY
5.4 IMAGE SENSORS: MARKET VOLUME, BY GEOGRAPHY
5.5 RADAR SENSORS: MARKET VOLUME, BY GEOGRAPHY
5.6 LIDAR SENSORS: MARKET VOLUME, BY GEOGRAPHY

6 AUTONOMOUS CARS 87-122

6.1 MODIFYING THE CAR
6.1.1 ADVANCED DRIVER ASSISTANCE SYSTEMS (ADAS)
6.1.1.1 Adaptive Cruise Control (ACC)
6.1.1.2 Lane Keep Assist (LKA)
6.1.1.3 Autonomous Park Assist (APA)
6.1.1.4 Adaptive Front Lighting (AFL)
6.1.1.5 Drowsiness Monitor
6.1.1.6 Automotive Night Vision
6.1.1.7 Others
6.1.1.7.1 Autonomous Emergency Brakes (AEB)
6.1.1.7.2 Intelligent Speed Advice
6.1.1.7.3 Pedestrian Detection/Warning
6.1.1.7.4 Traffic Sign Recognition
6.1.1.7.5 Pre-Collision Warning System
6.1.1.7.6 Blind Spot Detection (BSD) System
6.1.1.7.7 Tire Pressure Monitoring System (TPMS)
6.1.2 SELF-GOVERNING DRIVER ASSISTANCE SYSTEMS
6.1.2.1 Anti-lock Braking System (ABS)
6.1.2.2 Electronic Stability Control (ESP)
6.1.2.3 Dynamic Steering Response (DSR)
6.1.2.4 Four/All - Wheel Drive (AWD)
6.2 MODIFYING THE EXTERNAL ENVIRONMENT
6.2.1 AUTOMATED HIGHWAY SYSTEM (AHS)
6.2.2 VEHICLE INFRASTRUCTURE INTEGRATION (VII)
6.2.2.1 Vehicle To Vehicle (V2V) Communication
6.2.2.2 Vehicle To Infrastructure (V2I) Communication
6.2.2.3 Vehicle To Consumer Devices (V2D) Communication
6.2.3 VEHICLE TRACKING SYSTEM (VTS)
6.2.4 FREE RANGING ON GRID (FROG)

7 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE 124-128

7.1 INTRODUCTION
7.2 KEY GROWTH STRATEGIES
7.3 PASSENGER CAR MARKET SHARE
7.4 COMPANY RELATIVE MARKET POSITIONS
7.5 OEM RELATIVE MARKET POSITIONS

8 COMPANY PROFILES 130-259 (Overview, Financials, Products and Services, Strategy, and Developments)*

8.1 AISIN SEIKI CO. LTD
8.2 AUDI AG
8.3 AUTOLIV INC.
8.4 BMW AG
8.5 CONTINENTAL AG
8.6 DELPHI AUTOMOTIVE PLC.
8.7 DENSO CORPORATION
8.8 FORD MOTOR COMPANY
8.9 HITACHI LTD.
8.10 HYUNDAI MOBIS
8.11 MAGNA INTERNATIONAL
8.12 MANDO CORP.
8.13 MERCEDES-BENZ
8.14 MOBILEYE NV
8.15 NISSAN MOTOR COMPANY
8.16 ROBERT BOSCH GMBH
8.17 TOYOTA MOTOR CORPORATION
8.18 TRW AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS CORP.
8.19 VALEO
8.20 VELODYNE LIDAR INC.
8.21 VOLKSWAGEN
8.22 VOLVO CARS
*Details on overview, financials, product and services, strategy, and developments might not be captured in case of unlisted companies.

LIST OF TABLES

Table No. Table Title Slide No.
Table 1 Detailed Methodology for Market Size 36
Table 2 Semi-Autonomous Systems: Manufacturers and Suppliers, By Types 48
Table 3 Semi-Autonomous System Manufacturing: Major Players 49
Table 4 Semi-Autonomous System Types, By Possible Sensor Technologies 79
Table 5 Semi-Autonomous Passenger Car Market, By Technologies - Pros and Cons 80
Table 6 Passenger Cars with Adaptive Cruise Control 90
Table 7 Passenger Cars with Lane Keep Assist 95
Table 8 Passenger Cars with Autonomous Park Assist 97
Table 9 Passenger Cars with Adaptive Front Lights 98
Table 10 Passenger Cars with Drowsiness Monitor 99
Table 11 Passenger Cars with Automotive Night Vision 101
Table 12 Passenger Cars with ABS 107
Table 13 Passenger Cars with ESP 108
Table 14 Official Projections for Semi-Autonomous Cars 118
Table 15 Projects for Autonomous Cars 119
Table 16 Legislations for Autonomous Cars 122
Table 17 Annual Sales, By Models, 2011 - 2012 (‘000 Units) 248

LIST OF FIGURES

Figure No. Figure Title Slide No.
Figure 1 Global Vehicle Vs. Passenger Car Sales, 2010 - 2012 (‘000 Units) 20
Figure 2 Semi-Autonomous/Autonomous Passenger Cars: Solution to All Traffic Issues? 21
Figure 3 Semi-Autonomous Passenger Car Market 25
Figure 4 Glance at Markets Covered, By Geography 27
Figure 5 Glance at Markets Covered, By Types 29
Figure 6 Glance at Markets Covered, By Technologies 31
Figure 7 Glance at Markets Covered - Autonomous Passenger Cars 32
Figure 8 Semi-Autonomous Car Systems: Market Volume (Million Units) and Revenue ($Billion), 2011 - 2018 42
Figure 9 Drivers and Restraints - Semi-Autonomous Passenger Cars 43
Figure 10 Impact Analysis - Drivers and Restraints 44
Figure 11 Pestle Analysis 45
Figure 12 Porter’s Analysis 46
Figure 13 Value Chain 47
Figure 14 Semi-Autonomous Systems: Market Share, By Companies, 2011 50
Figure 15 Semi-Autonomous Systems: Technology Roadmap 51
Figure 16 Semi-Autonomous Passenger Car Market Share, By Country 57
Figure 17 Semi-autonomous Passenger Car Market, By Geography 58
Figure 18 Semi-Autonomous Passenger Car: Market Volume, By Geography, 2011 - 2018 (‘000 Units) 59
Figure 19 Semi-Autonomous Passenger Car: Market Revenue, By Geography, 2011 - 2018 ($Million) 59
Figure 20 Asia-Pacific: Semi-Autonomous Passenger Car, Market Volume, 2011 - 2018 (‘000 Units) 60
Figure 21 Asia-Pacific: Semi-Autonomous Passenger Car, Market Volume, 2013 v/s 2018 (‘000 Units) 60
Figure 22 Asia-Pacific: Semi-Autonomous Passenger Car, Market Revenue, 2011 - 2018 ($Million) 61
Figure 23 Asia-Pacific : Semi-Autonomous Passenger Car, Market Revenue, 2013 v/s 2018 ($Million) 61
Figure 24 Europe: Semi-Autonomous Passenger Car, Market Volume, 2011 - 2018 (‘000 Units) 62
Figure 25 Europe: Semi-Autonomous Passenger Car , Market Volume, 2013 v/s 2018 (‘000 Units) 62
Figure 26 Europe: Semi-Autonomous Passenger Car, Market Revenue, 2011 - 2018 ($Million) 63
Figure 27 Europe: Semi-Autonomous Passenger Car, Market Revenue 2013 v/s 2018 ($Million) 63
Figure 28 Americas: Semi-Autonomous Passenger Car, Market Volume, 2011 - 2018 (‘000 Units) 64
Figure 29 Americas: Semi-Autonomous Passenger Car, Market Volume 2013 v/s 2018 (‘000 Units) 64
Figure 30 Americas: Semi-Autonomous Passenger Car, Market Revenue, 2011 - 2018 ($Million) 65
Figure 31 Americas: Semi-Autonomous Passenger Car, Market Revenue 2013 v/s 2018 ($Million) 65
Figure 32 MEA: Semi-Autonomous Passenger Car, Market Volume, 2011 - 2018 (‘000 Units) 66
Figure 33 MEA: Semi-Autonomous Passenger Car, Market Volume, 2013 v/s 2018 (‘000 Units) 66
Figure 34 MEA: Semi-Autonomous Passenger Car, Market Revenue, 2011 - 2018 ($Million) 67
Figure 35 MEA: Semi-Autonomous Passenger Car, Market Revenue, 2013 v/s 2018 ($Million) 67
Figure 36 Semi-Autonomous Passenger Car Market Revenue, By Types, 2011 - 2018 ($Million) 71
Figure 37 ACC: Market Revenue, By Geography, 2011 - 2018 ($Million) 72
Figure 38 Lane Keep Assist: Market Revenue, By Geography, 2011 - 2018 ($Million) 73
Figure 39 Autonomous Park Assist: Market Revenue, By Geography, 2011 - 2018 ($Million) 74
Figure 40 Adaptive Front Lights: Market Revenue, By Geography, 2011 - 2018 ($Million) 75
Figure 41 Semi-Autonomous Passenger Car Market Volume, By Technologies, 2011 - 2018 (‘000 Units) 81
Figure 42 Semi-Autonomous Passenger Car Market Volume Share, By Technologies, 2013 vs. 2018 81
Figure 43 Ultrasonic Sensors: Market Volume, By Geography, 2011 - 2018 (‘000 Units) 82
Figure 44 Image Sensors: Market Volume, By Geography, 2011 - 2018 (‘000 Units) 83
Figure 45 RADAR Sensors: Market Volume, By Geography, 2011 - 2018 (‘000 Units) 84
Figure 46 LIDAR Sensors: Market Volume, By Geography, 2011 - 2018 (‘000 Units) 85
Figure 47 Autonomous Cars - Modifying the Car 88
Figure 48 Autonomous Cars - Modifying the Car - ADAS 89
Figure 49 Autonomous Passenger Cars - Other Systems 102
Figure 50 Self-governing Driver Assistance Systems 106
Figure 51 Autonomous Cars - Modifying the External Environment 113
Figure 52 Key Growth Strategies in the Global Driver Assistance Systems Market, 2010 - 2013 125
Figure 53 Global Passenger Cars Production and Sales Share, By Country, 2012 126
Figure 54 Semi-Autonomous Passenger Car System: Manufacturers, By Geography 127
Figure 55 Semi-Autonomous Passenger Cars: OEMs, By Geography 128
Figure 56 Annual Revenue, By Business Segments, 2012 - 2013 ($Million) 132
Figure 57 Annual Revenue, By Geography, 2011 - 2012 ($Million) 137
Figure 58 Annual Revenue, By Business Segments, 2011 - 2012 ($Million) 143
Figure 59 Annual Revenue, By Region, 2011 - 2012 ($Million) 148
Figure 60 Annual Revenue, By Business Segments, 2011 - 2012 ($Million) 154
Figure 61 Chassis and Safety Segment sales, By Region, 2011 - 2012 ($Million) 155
Figure 62 Annual Revenue, By Business Segments, 2011 - 2012 ($Million) 161
Figure 63 Annual Revenue, By Regions/Countries, 2011 - 2012 ($Million) 162
Figure 64 Annual Revenue, By Regions/Countries, 2011 - 2012 ($Million) 169
Figure 65 Annual Revenue, By Business Segments, 2012 (%) 170
Figure 66 Annual Revenue, By Regions, 2011 - 2012 ($Million) 176
Figure 67 Annual Revenue, By Business Segments, 2011 - 2012 ($Million) 182
Figure 68 Annual Revenue, By Business Segments, 2011 - 2012 ($Million) 187
Figure 69 Annual Revenue, By Regions/Countries, 2011 - 2012 ($Million) 188
Figure 70 Annual Revenue, By Business Segments, 2011 - 2012 ($Million) 193
Figure 71 Annual Revenue, By Clients, 2011 - 2012 ($Million) 194
Figure 72 Annual Revenue, By Regions/Countries, 2011 - 2012 ($Million) 198
Figure 73 Annual Revenue, By Regions, 2011 - 2012 ($Million) 202
Figure 74 Annual Unit Sales, By Regions, 2011 - 2012, (‘000 Units) 203
Figure 75 Annual Unit Sales, By Regions/Countries, 2012 (‘000 Units) 204
Figure 76 Annual Revenue, By Business Segments, 2011 - 2012 ($Million) 220
Figure 77 Annual Revenue, By Business Segments, 2011 - 2012 ($Million) 225
Figure 78 Annual Revenue, By Regions, 2011 - 2012 ($Million) 226
Figure 79 Annual Revenue, By Business Segments, 2011 - 2012 ($Million) 231
Figure 80 Annual Revenue, By Business Segments, 2011 - 2012 ($Million) 232
Figure 81 Annual Revenue, By Regions/Countries, 2011 - 2012 ($Million) 255
Figure 82 Annual Sales, By Regions/Countries, 2011 - 2012 (‘000 Units) 256

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