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In-flight connectivity: satellite vs. LTE
Technologies – Markets – Outlook

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Table Of Contents

Satellite Insight - In-flight connectivity: satellite vs. LTE
Table of Contents

1. Key findings 5

2. Expansion of in-flight connectivity services 6
2.1. Strong demand from passengers for connectivity 6
2.2. Service characteristics 8

3. Several solutions are currently available 10
3.1. Panasonic Avionics 10
3.2. Row 44 12
3.3. ViaSat Exede 14
3.4. Gogo 15
3.5. OnAir 17

4. Satellite connectivity: is the business model resilient? 19
4.1. Current business models 19
4.2. The main cost items for airlines 20
4.3. Revenue prospects for airlines 20
4.4. Possible impact of the Ka-band on business models 20

5. What market outlook? 22
5.1. New usages will boost demand for bandwidth 22
5.1.1. More and more video consumption 22
5.2. Looming competition from LTE 24
5.2.1. Advantages and disadvantages of LTE 24
5.2.2. LTE in-flight connectivity tests have already been conducted 26
5.2.3. What is a viable business model? 30
5.3. Satellite and LTE: which will triumph? 30
5.3.1. A historical example: connectivity on trains 30
5.3.2. In-flight connectivity is likely to rely on both technologies 31
5.4. What market potential to 2017? 32



Tables

Table 1: Key features of the main in-flight communications services 16
Table 2: Top nine in-flight usages in 2012 22
Table 3: Main constraints of the mobile platform on video services 23
Table 4: Main theoretical performance of the different mobile technologies 24
Table 5: Advantages and disadvantages of LTE for in-flight connectivity services 25



Figures

Figure 1: Wi-Fi access on US domestic flights 7
Figure 2: Proportion of US domestic daily flights with Wi-Fi 7
Figure 3: Rise in the number of “connected” planes between 2010 and 2012 8
Figure 4: Architecture of Panasonic services 10
Figure 5: The Row 44 solution 12
Figure 6: Speeds reached with Exede compared to competitors 14
Figure 7: Comparison of Exede performance with competitors 14
Figure 8: Gogo timeline 15
Figure 9: How the Gogo in-flight communication system works and the antenna used 15
Figure 10: The OnAir solution 17
Figure 11: Norwegian Airlines has offered free Internet access since January 2013 21
Figure 12: Data traffic (video) on the mobile platform in the United States, Q1-2012 24
Figure 13: Cost of LTE bandwidth vs. satellite bandwidth 25
Figure 14: Huawei's eWBB solution 26
Figure 15: Solution tested by Deutsche Telekom with Airbus and Alcatel-Lucent 27
Figure 16: Prototype of the LTE-signal receive antenna fitted to the aircraft and used during the tests 28
Figure 17: Sales argument developed by Deutsche Telekom in favor of LTE 28
Figure 18: Frequency bands identified by Alcatel-Lucent 29
Figure 19: Evolving costs 30
Figure 20: Distribution of connectivity solutions on trains in 2012 31
Figure 21: Number of commercial aircraft with broadband connectivity, 2013-2017 32

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