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Production and Investment in Southern Africa’s Steel Industry

  • August 2013
  • -
  • Frost & Sullivan
  • -
  • 81 pages

Summary

Table of Contents

Strong Growth Anticipated for Southern African Steel Sector

This research service provides a detailed analysis of the Southern African steel market for the period 2008 to 2018. It begins with a high-level analysis and discusses the industry challenges, market drivers, and restraints. The research service also covers the total South African Steel industry production capacity, demand, forecasts, and competitor analysis and provides forecasts for key end-user segments. Conclusions are drawn by giving strategic recommendations regarding industry challenges and offering three major predictions for the total market. The overall research aim is to conduct an up-to-date analysis of the Southern African steel market that will provide visibility on the shape, size, and direction of the industry.

Executive Summary

•This research service provides an up-to-date analysis of the Southern African steel industry for 2008 to 2017.
•The Southern African steel industry’s production capacity is approximately million tonnes, with mainly South African companies accounting for the bulk of the steel production capacity.
•Steel demand in Southern Africa is estimated at approximately X million tonnes, which leads to X million tonnes of spare steel manufacturing capacity in the region.
•Infrastructure backlogs due to high population growth (Xmillion people), increased urbanisation, and rapid economic growth are factors expected to drive growth.
•In Southern Africa, steel consumption has been growing at an average of X% over the past decade.
•Going forward, the Southern African steel industry is forecast to witness steady growth driven by expansive capital outlays within the utilities and mining sectors.
•To benefit from this anticipated upturn in demand, key competencies for industry participants during the forecast period include competitive pricing, short lead times, and quality products.
•Steel industry participants in Southern Africa will also be under immense pressure by lower-cost Asian imported steel products.
•As a result of the anticipated steady growth, the Southern African steel industry is forecast to grow by from Xmillion tonnes in 2012 to reach X million tonnes in 2017.

CEO’s Perspective

1. The South African steel industry production capacity is forecast to grow at a CAGR of X% between 2011 and 2017.
2. The South African domestic market will account for X% of steel sales in 2017.
3. Infrastructure development projects are expected to drive growth in the steel industry in Southern Africa.
4. The construction sector accounts for approximately X% of the steel consumed in South Africa.
5. Raw material costs, primarily iron ore and coking coal, are key steel pricing determinants.

Market Overview—Definitions

•The Southern African steel industry had approximately X million tonnes of steel production capacity, with Xmillion tonnes of spare steel capacity over domestic demand in 2011.
•The production of steel is fundamental to industrial development. The establishment of a productive steel industry is a pre-requisite step toward industrialisation in Southern Africa.
•The steel industry is not only crucial for the purpose of industrialisation but is of primary importance for the continued development of a highly industrialised society.
•The Southern Africa region is currently facing infrastructure backlogs due to high population growth (X million people), increased urbanisation, and rapid economic growth.
•In Southern Africa, steel consumption has been growing at an average of X% over the past decade.
•The Southern African steel industry is expected to witness moderate growth during the forecast period.
•Frost & Sullivan estimates that Southern Africa’s consumption is likely to grow at a CAGR of % from X million tons per annum in 2011 to approximately X million tonnes per annum by 2017.
•The huge deficit in infrastructure, especially adequate housing and transportation (roads, rail, and ports) and energy generation and distribution, presents a major case for the continuing growth in steel consumption in the Southern Africa market in 2011 and beyond.
•The study endeavours to provide an up-to-date analysis of the Southern African steel industry, including a high-level discussion of growth opportunities for existing and potential market participants.

Key Questions This Study Will Answer

• Is the Southern African steel industry growing, and at what rate will it continue to grow between 2012 and 2017?
• From a supplier perspective, what are the industry’s key competitive factors and best practices?
• Which factors are driving growth and progression of the Southern African steel industry?
• Are the products/services offered today meeting customer needs, or is additional development needed?
• Between 2012 and 2017, will the Southern African steel industry be exposed to the risk of greater consolidation through mergers and acquisitions?
• What strategies should existing and potential suppliers adopt to sustain market success between 2012 and 2017?

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