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Summary
The Peruvian defense market will be driven by the threat from insurgent guerrilla organization 'the Shining Path group', border conflicts with Chile, active participation in peacekeeping missions, narco-terrorism, defense sector reforms, and modernization initiatives. Also the capital expenditure allocation is anticipated to average 13.7% of the total defense budget during 2016-2020 and procurement of defense equipment are expected to be in the areas of frigates, multi-role aircraft, submarines, and main battle tanks.

Key Findings
- During 2011-2015, Peruvian defense expenditure registered a growth rate of 4.03%, increasing from US$2 billion in 2011 to US$2.3 billion in 2015

- Military expenditure is anticipated to register a CAGR of 6.39% during 2016-2020, to value US$3.2 billion in 2020

- The ongoing modernization, which has led to the upgrade of military equipment, along with country's efforts tackle the threats of terrorism and the increasing level of drug trafficking along with border disputes and participation in peace keeping operations is expected to drive defense expenditure over the forecast period

- Demand for equipment is mainly expected to revolve around frigates, multi-role aircraft, submarine, and main battle tank during 2016-2020

Synopsis
Strategic Defense Intelligence's report - Future of the Peruvian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020 offers detailed analysis of the industry with market size forecasts from 2016-2020. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand in the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:

- Defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the defense industry during 2016-2020, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators. It also provides a snapshot of the country's expenditure and modernization patterns

- Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country

- Porter's Five Force analysis of the defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry

- Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country's imports and exports over the last five years

- Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities from 2015 to 2025

- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: including an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

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Table Of Contents

Future of the Peruvian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020
Table of Contents
1 Introduction
1.1. What is this Report About?
1.2. Definitions
1.3. Summary Methodology
1.4. SDI Terrorism Index
1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence
2 Executive Summary
3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.1.1. Defense expenditure to grow at a CAGR of 6.39% over the forecast period
3.1.2. Threat of narco-terrorism, defense reforms and modernization, border disputes, and peacekeeping operations to drive defense expenditure
3.1.3. Defense budget as a percentage of GDP is anticipated to average 1.22% during the forecast period
3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.2.1. Revenue expenditure accounts for the majority of the Peruvian defense budget
3.2.2. Peruvian defense capital expenditure is expected to grow at a CAGR of 5.28% during the forecast period
3.2.3. Per capita defense expenditure expected to increase during the forecast period
3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.3.1. Homeland security expenditure is expected to grow at a CAGR of 9.88% during the forecast period
3.3.2. Measures to prevent cocaine trafficking and organized crime to drive HLS expenditure
3.3.3. Peru considered at ‘some risk' of terrorist attack
3.3.4. Peru experiences low levels of terrorist activity
3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.4.1. Peruvian defense budget expected to register marginal growth in the forecast period
3.4.2. Peru's military expenditure is limited compared to countries with the largest defense expenditure
3.4.3. Peru allocates a low percentage of GDP to defense
3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
3.5.1. Frigates
3.5.2. Multi-role Aircraft
3.5.3. Submarine
3.5.4. Main Battle Tank
4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1. Import Market Dynamics
4.1.1. Defense imports expected to increase during the forecast period
4.1.2. Russia to account for the majority of Peru's defense imports during the forecast period
4.1.3. Aircraft and missiles are the most imported military hardware
5 Industry Dynamics
5.1. Five Forces Analysis
5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: low to medium
5.1.2. Bargaining power of buyer: medium to high
5.1.3. Barriers to entry: medium
5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: medium to high
5.1.5. Threat of substitution: medium to high
6 Market Entry Strategy
6.1. Market Regulation
6.1.1. Offset policy aids development of domestic defense industry
6.1.2. Peru allows 100% FDI in defense industry
6.2. Market Entry Route
6.2.1. The country's biennial defense exhibition provides an attractive entry route
6.2.2. Direct selling is the preferred market entry route for foreign OEMs
6.3. Key Challenges
6.3.1. Small defense budget and limited technological capability limits the market entry of foreign companies
6.3.2. Lack of transparency hampers the growth of the Peruvian defense industry
7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview
7.2. Key Domestic Companies
7.2.1. Los Servicios Industriales de la Marina (SIMA): overview
7.2.2. Los Servicios Industriales de la Marina (SIMA): products and services
7.2.3. Los Servicios Industriales de la Marina (SIMA): recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.4. Los Servicios Industriales de la Marina (SIMA): alliances
7.2.5. Los Servicios Industriales de la Marina (SIMA): recent contract wins
7.2.6. The Army Ammunition Factory (FAME): overview
7.2.7. The Army Ammunition Factory (FAME): products and services
7.2.8. The Army Ammunition Factory (FAME): recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.9. Desarrollos Industriales Casanave: overview
7.2.10. Desarrollos Industriales Casanave: products and services
7.2.11. Desarrollos Industriales Casanave: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.12. Desarrollos Industriales Casanave: alliances
8 Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1. Demographics and Social Statistics
8.1.1. Total Rural Population
8.1.2. Total Urban Population
8.1.3. Number of Households
8.2. Economic Performance
8.2.1. GDP Per Capita
8.2.2. GDP, Current Prices (US$ Billion)
8.2.3. Exports of goods and services, current prices (US$ billion)
8.2.4. Imports of goods and services, current prices (US$ billion)
8.2.5. Manufacturing Output (US$ billion)
8.2.6. Consumer Price Index
8.2.7. Wholesale Price Index
8.2.8. Local Currency Unit per US$ (period average)
8.2.9. Local Currency Unit per EUR (period average)
8.2.10. Lending Rate (%)
8.2.11. Deposit Rate (%)
8.2.12. Real Interest Rate (%)
8.2.13. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (US$ Billion)
8.2.14. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP)
8.2.15. Total Government Cash Surplus/ Deficit (LCU Billion)
8.2.16. Government Cash Surplus/ Deficit as % of GDP (LCU)
8.2.17. Goods Exports as % of GDP
8.2.18. Goods Imports as % of GDP
8.2.19. Goods Balance as % of GDP
8.2.20. Services Imports as % of GDP
8.2.21. Services Exports as % of GDP
8.2.22. Services Balance as % of GDP
8.2.23. Foreign Direct Investment, net (BoP, current US$ Billion)
8.2.24. Net Foreign Direct Investment as % of GDP
8.2.25. International Reserves, including Gold (US$ Billion)
8.2.26. External Debt as % of GDP
8.3. Energy and Utilities
8.3.1. Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation
8.3.2. Hydroelectricity Net Generation
8.3.3. Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity
8.3.4. Proved Reserves of Natural Gas
8.3.5. Total Petroleum Consumption
8.3.6. Crude Oil Proved Reserves
8.3.7. Total Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation (Billion kW)
8.4. Infrastructure Quality and Availability
8.4.1. Air Transport (freight)
8.4.2. Overall Construction
8.5. Minerals
8.5.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output
8.6. Technology
8.6.1. Patents Granted
8.7. Telecommunication
8.7.1. Telephone Lines
8.7.2. Telephone Lines Penetration Rate
9 Appendix
9.1. About SDI
9.2. Disclaimer

List of Tables
Table 1: Peruvian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
Table 2: Peruvian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
Table 3: Peruvian Defense Expenditure (PEN Billion), 2011-2015
Table 4: Peruvian Defense Expenditure (PEN Billion), 2016-2020
Table 5: Peruvian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2011-2015
Table 6: Peruvian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2016-2020
Table 7: Peruvian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2011-2015
Table 8: Peruvian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2016-2020
Table 9: Peruvian Capital Budget Allocation (US$ Million), 2011-2015
Table 10: Peruvian Capital Budget Allocation (US$ Million), 2016-2020
Table 11: Peruvian Capital Budget Allocation (PEN Billion), 2011-2015
Table 12: Peruvian Capital Budget Allocation (PEN Billion), 2016-2020
Table 13: Peruvian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2011-2015
Table 14: Peruvian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2016-2020
Table 15: Peruvian Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2011-2015
Table 16: Peruvian Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2016-2020
Table 17: Peruvian Homeland Security Budget (PEN Billion), 2011-2015
Table 18: Peruvian Homeland Security Budget (PEN Billion), 2016-2020
Table 19: SDI Terrorism Index, 2015
Table 20: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2011-2015 vs. 2016-2020
Table 21: Defense Offset Regulations in Peru
Table 22: Los Servicios Industriales de la Marina (SIMA)- Products and Services
Table 23: Los Servicios Industriales de la Marina (SIMA): Alliances
Table 24: Los Servicios Industriales de la Marina (SIMA) - Recent Contract Wins
Table 25: The Army Ammunition Factory (FAME)- Product Focus
Table 26: Desarrollos Industriales Casanave- Product Focus
Table 27: Desarrollos Industriales Casanave: Alliances

List of Figures
Figure 1: Peruvian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
Figure 2: Peruvian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
Figure 3: Peruvian Defense Expenditure (PEN Billion), 2011-2015
Figure 4: Peruvian Defense Expenditure (PEN Billion), 2016-2020
Figure 5: Peruvian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2011-2015
Figure 6: Peruvian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2016-2020
Figure 7: Peruvian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2011-2015
Figure 8: Peruvian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2016-2020
Figure 9: Peruvian Capital Budget Allocation (US$ Million), 2011-2015
Figure 10: Peruvian Capital Budget Allocation (US$ Million), 2016-2020
Figure 11: Peruvian Capital Budget Allocation (PEN Billion), 2011-2015
Figure 12: Peruvian Capital Budget Allocation (PEN Billion), 2016-2020
Figure 13: Peruvian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2011-2015
Figure 14: Peruvian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2016-2020
Figure 15: Peruvian Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2011-2015
Figure 16: Peruvian Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2016-2020
Figure 17: Peruvian Homeland Security Budget (PEN Billion), 2011-2015
Figure 18: Peruvian Homeland Security Budget (PEN Billion), 2016-2020
Figure 19: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2015
Figure 20: SDI Terrorism Index, 2015
Figure 21: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2011-2015 vs. 2016-2020
Figure 22: Defense Expenditure of the World's Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion), 2015 and 2020
Figure 23: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2015
Figure 24: Frigates Market Size (US$ Million), 2015-2025
Figure 25: Multi-role Aircraft Market Size (US$ Million), 2015-2025
Figure 26: Submarines Market Size (US$ Million), 2015-2025
Figure 27: Main Battle Tank Market Size (US$ Million), 2015-2025
Figure 28: Peruvian Defense Import Trend, 2010-2014 (TIV values)
Figure 29: Peruvian Defense Imports by Country (%), 2010-2014
Figure 30: Peruvian Defense Imports by Category (%), 2010-2014
Figure 31: Industry Dynamics Porter's Five Forces Analysis
Figure 32: Peruvian Rural Population (In Millions), 2015-2024
Figure 33: Peruvian Urban Population (In Millions), 2015-2024
Figure 34: Peruvian Number of Households (In Millions), 2008-2017
Figure 35: Peruvian GDP Per Capita, 2015-2024
Figure 36: Peruvian GDP at Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2015-2024
Figure 37: Peruvian Exports of Goods and Services, Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2002-2011
Figure 38: Peruvian Imports of Goods and Services, Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2002-2011
Figure 39: Peruvian Manufacturing Output (US$ Billion), 2002-2011
Figure 40: Peruvian Consumer Price Index, 2015-2024
Figure 41: Peruvian Wholesale Price Index, 2003-2012
Figure 42: Local Currency Unit per US$, 2015-2024
Figure 43: Local Currency Unit per EUR, 2015-2024
Figure 44: Peruvian Lending Rate (%), 2003-2012
Figure 45: Peruvian Deposit Rate (%), 2003-2012
Figure 46: Peruvian Real Interest Rate (%), 2003-2012
Figure 47: Market Capitalization of Listed Companies in Peru (US$ Billion), 2003-2012
Figure 48: Market Capitalization of Listed Companies in Peru (% of GDP), 2002-2011
Figure 49: Peruvian Government Cash Surplus/ Deficit (LCU Billion), 2002-2011
Figure 50: Peruvian Government Cash Surplus/ Deficit as % of GDP (LCU), 2002-2011
Figure 51: Peruvian Goods Exports as % of GDP, 2001-2010
Figure 52: Peruvian Goods Imports as % of GDP, 2001-2010
Figure 53: Peruvian Goods Balance as % of GDP, 2001-2010
Figure 54: Peruvian Services Imports as % of GDP, 2001-2010
Figure 55: Peruvian Services Exports as % of GDP, 2001-2010
Figure 56: Peruvian Services Balance as % of GDP, 2001-2010
Figure 57: Peruvian Foreign Direct Investment, net (BoP, current US$ Billion), 2001-2010
Figure 58: Peruvian Net Foreign Direct Investment as % of GDP, 2001-2010
Figure 59: Peruvian International Reserves, including Gold (US$ Billion), 2002-2011
Figure 60: Peruvian External Debt as % of GDP, 2001-2010
Figure 61: Peruvian Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt Hours), 2002-2011
Figure 62: Peruvian Hydroelectricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt Hours), 2002-2011
Figure 63: Peruvian Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity (Million Kilowatts), 2001-2010
Figure 64: Peruvian Proved Reserves of Natural Gas (Trillion Cubic Feet), 2004-2013
Figure 65: Peruvian Total Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels Per Day), 2003-2012
Figure 66: Peruvian Crude Oil Proved Reserves (Million Barrels), 2004-2013
Figure 67: Total Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatts), 2002-2011
Figure 68: Air Transport (Freight), Million ton-km, 2002-2011
Figure 69: Overall Construction (US$ Million), 2007-2016
Figure 70: Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (USD Billion), 2002-2011
Figure 71: Patents Granted, 2003-2012
Figure 72: Telephone Lines in Peru (in Millions), 2003-2012
Figure 73: Telephone Lines Penetration Rate in Peru (per 100 people), 2003-2012

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