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Botswana Power Report Q4 2016

  • September 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 52 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

Botswana will remain a net-importer of electricity over our 10-year forecast period. This is dueto underperforming coal-fired power plants as a result of malfunctioning equipment and water shortages.Plans to liberalise the power sector will increase private sector interest in the country if implemented,which should attract investment aimed at increasing generating capacity in the country.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends


- Tlou Energy and Sekaname Pvt Limited have been shortlisted for the tender of coal bed methanefuelled power plants totalling up to a maximum of 100 megawatts (MW) by the Ministry of Minerals,Energy and Water Resources (MMEWR). We await further updates on the project before including it inour forecasts.

- We have lowered our forecasts for thermal power generation in Botswana from a previous generationlevel of 3.2 terawatt hours (TWh) to 2.64 by 2025, to indicate potential generation deficits due to watershortages plaguing the country. This will be upgraded if the North-South Carrier (NSC) water project iscompleted on time and stable water supply can be secured.

Table Of Contents

Botswana Power Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Botswana 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Botswana Snapshot 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Botswana 2014-2019) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Botswana 2020-2025) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 10
Botswana Power Forecast Scenario 11
Thermal Generation and Capacity Forecast 11
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2014-2019) 13
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2020-2025) 14
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2014-2019) 14
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2020-2025) 15
Electricity Consumption 15
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2014-2019) 16
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2020-2025) 16
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2014-2019) 17
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2020-2025) 18
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2014-2019) 18
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2020-2025) 18
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings 19
SSA Power Risk/Reward Index 19
Table: SSA Power Risk/Reward Index (Scores Out Of 100) 26
Botswana Power Risk/Reward Index 27
Rewards 27
Risks 27
Market Overview 29
Key Policies And Market Structure 29
Regulation And Competition 29
Pricing 29
Key Policies And Market Structure 29
Competitive Landscape 33
Competitive Landscape 33
Regional Overview 38
MEA: Key Themes 38
Table: UAE - Huge Bid Reductions Cements Outperformer Status 43
Glossary 46
Table: Glossary Of Terms 46
Methodology 47
Methodology And Sources 47
Industry Forecast Methodology 47
Sources 50
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 50
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 51
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 52

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