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Mozambique Power Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 53 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:
Power generation growth in Mozambique will be largely stagnant over our 10-year forecast period due to project delays and pricing issues. Opportunities for thermal power investment exist due to domestic coal and gas resources. Hydropower dominating the power sector means the country is vulnerable to power cuts in periods of decreased rainfall or droughts.
Latest Updates And Structural Trends


- Ncondezi Energy and Shanghai Electric Power (SEP) have signed a shareholders' agreement regarding the 300 megawatt (MW) Ncondezi coal-fired power plant. We are awaiting more concrete updates on the plant and awaiting construction before factoring it into our forecasts.

- The Benga coal-fired power plant is still being planned by the Indian consortium International Coal Ventures (ICVL). The group has reportedly asked Indian state-owned companies National Thermal Power Corporation and Coal India to return to the venture, as they had previously left due to differing coal requirements from the steel companies in the venture. We will include it in our forecasts if evidence of progress is shown.

Table Of Contents

Mozambique Power Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Mozambique 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 9
Mozambique Snapshot 9
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Mozambique 2014-2019) 9
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Mozambique 2020-2025) 9
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 9
Mozambique Power Forecast Scenario 10
Thermal Generation And Capacity Forecast 10
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecasts 12
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 13
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2014-2019) 13
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2020-2025) 14
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2014-2019) 15
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2020-2025) 15
Electricity Consumption 16
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2014-2019) 16
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2020-2025) 16
Transmission and Distribution 16
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2014-2019) 17
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2020-2025) 18
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2014-2019) 18
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2020-2025) 18
Industry Risk Reward Index 19
SSA Power Risk/Reward Index 19
Table: SSA Power Risk/Reward Index (Scores Out Of 100) 26
Mozambique Power Risk/Reward Index 27
Rewards 27
Risks 27
Market Overview 29
Mozambique Key Policies And Market Structure 29
Regulation And Competition 29
Pricing 29
SSA Key Policies And Market Structure 30
Competitive Landscape 34
Mozambique Competitive Landscape 34
Competitive Landscape 34
SSA Competitive Landscape 34
Regional Overview 39
MEA: Key Themes 39
Table: UAE - Huge Bid Reductions Cements Outperformer Status 44
Glossary 47
Table: Glossary Of Terms 47
Methodology 48
Methodology And Sources 48
Industry Forecast Methodology 48
Sources 51
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 51
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 52
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 53

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