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Kenya Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 38 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates
BMI View:

Kenya's construction market is forecast to record positive growth throughout our 10-year forecast period, driven by improvements to transport networks, investment into energy infrastructure and increased activity in non-residential building, particularly commercial and industrial developments. The government will continue to rely on foreign investment flows to fund its ambitious infrastructure development as weaker revenue growth weighs on the budget and the government struggles to rein in recurrent expenditure.

Forecast & Industry Developments

- The Kenyan construction industry is projected to expand by 9.8% in real terms in 2016 and record an annual average of 8.6% up to 2020. It is the second-fastest growing market in Sub-Saharan Africa, behind East African peer Ethiopia and in line with Cameroon's trajectory.

- Over our 10-year forecast period up to 2025 we forecast annual average growth of 6.8% in real terms. Nominal industry value is expected to rise from an estimated USD3.1bn in 2015 to USD9.8bn in 2025.

- Kenya continues to entrench its position as the gateway to East Africa, with Nairobi a key destination for commercial and industrial operations and expansion in regional transport links progressing well.

- China's growing market share could limit opportunities for foreign investors looking to enter the market, though we highlight the Kenyan government is making an effort to diversify the competitive landscape.

Table Of Contents

Kenya Infrastructure Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Table: Five-Year Forecast Scenario (Kenya 2016-2020) 5
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Profile (Kenya 2016) 6
SWOT 7
Infrastructure SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 9
Table: 10-Year Forecast Scenario (Kenya 2016-2025) 9
Table: NCA - Key Areas Of Focus 18
Industry Risk Reward Index 20
Kenya - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 20
Rewards 20
Risks 21
SSA Infrastructure RRI: Volatile Markets Highlight Regional Risks 22
Table: SSA RRI 30
Methodology 31
Industry Forecast Methodology 31
Sector-Specific Methodology 32
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 36
Sector-Specific Methodology 37
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 37
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 38

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