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  4. > Namibia Power Report Q4 2016

Namibia Power Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 62 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates
BMI View:

Non-hydropower renewable energy will be Namibia's most lucrative investment due to lower costs and ease of deployment to rural communities. Meanwhile thermal and hydropower development will remain mostly stagnant up until 2025 due to political indecision, pricing and logistical issues. Namibia will remain a net-exporter of electricity over our 10-year forecast period.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends


- The Namibian High Court ruled in favour of Xaris Energy winning the tender for the Walvis Bay gasfired power plant in Erongo. We still do not factor the plant into our forecasts as no power purchasing agreement (PPA) has been signed yet.

- The governor of the Kunene region, Angelika Muharukua, has stated that construction work on the 300MW Baynes hydropower project - a joint project between the governments of Namibia and Angola - should start in 2017. Local opposition to the plant still remains because of resettlement issues and we are not including the plants in our forecasts yet until more concrete plans are released.

- The 5MW Otjozondjupa Solar Park has been completed in July. The project was commissioned by HopSol Africa and is reportedly the first of 14 non-hydropower renewable projects that have been approved by NamPower.

Table Of Contents

Namibia Power Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Namibia 2015 - 2021) 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Namibia Snapshot 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic And Demographic Data (Namibia 2014-2019) 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic And Demographic Data (Namibia 2020-2025) 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 11
Namibia Power Forecast Scenario 12
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast 14
Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast 16
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2014 - 2019) 17
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2020 - 2025) 19
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2014 - 2019) 20
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2020 - 2025) 20
Electricity Consumption 21
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2014 - 2019) 21
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2020 - 2025) 21
Transmission and Distribution 22
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2014-2019) 23
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2020-2025) 23
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2014-2019) 23
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2020-2025) 24
Industry Risk Reward Index 25
SSA Power Risk/Reward Index 25
Table: SSA Power Risk/Reward Index (Scores Out Of 100) 32
Namibia Power Risk/Reward Index 33
Rewards 33
Risks 33
Market Overview 35
Key Policies And Market Structure 35
Regulation And Competition 35
Pricing 35
Sub-Saharan Africa Key Policies And Market Structure 36
Namibia Power Projects Database 40
Competitive Landscape 42
Competitive Landscape 42
Sub-Saharan Africa Competitive Landscape 43
Regional Overview 48
MEA: Key Themes 48
Table: UAE - Huge Bid Reductions Cements Outperformer Status 53
Glossary 56
Table: Glossary Of Terms 56
Methodology 57
Methodology And Sources 57
Industry Forecast Methodology 57
Sources 60
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 60
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 61
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 62

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