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Zimbabwe Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 34 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

Zimbabwe's construction industry remains highly risky for investors, poorly financed and subject to the policies of President Robert Mugabe, which have resulted in a very poor business environment. Zimbabwe is keen to encourage foreign investment. However, thus far, China remains the only actor making inroads into the country via the power and mining sectors.


Forecast and Latest Updates

- We expect weak growth in the Zimbabwe construction industry as high risks, poor financing availability and dim growth prospects ward off investment, outside of Chinese state-sponsored projects.

- As such, we forecast 2.5% real growth for 2016, with growth to remain fairly stable with an average of 2.5% over the course of our ten-year forecast period to 2025.

- Zimbabwe Power Company (ZPC) expects to reach financial close by H216 for the USD1.1bn expansion of Hwange Thermal Power Station in the region of Matabeleland. The plant, which produces an average of 500MW, will have capacity to add 600MW to the national power grid once the expansion is complete.

- In September, the government of Zimbabwe signed an agreement with the governments of Botswana and Mozambique for the development of around 1500km or railway connecting the three countries, with each pledging an investment of USD200mn.

Table Of Contents

Zimbabwe Infrastructure Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2015-2025) 5
Table: Zimbabwe Infrastructure Risk/Reward Inex 6
SWOT 7
Infrastructure SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 9
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Zimbabwe 2015-2025) 9
Table: Energy and Utilities Projects Involving Chinese Companies 15
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 16
Zimbabwe - Risk/Reward Index 16
Rewards 16
Risks 17
SSA Infrastructure RRI: Volatile Markets Highlight Regional Risks 18
Table: SSA RRI 26
Methodology 27
Industry Forecast Methodology 27
Sector-Specific Methodology 28
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 32
Sector-Specific Methodology 33
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 33
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 34

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