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  4. > Vietnam Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

Vietnam Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 68 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:
The Vietnamese mobile market has experienced strong growth in the past and the uptake of 3G and fibre broadband has been robust in 2015, demonstrating the rising inclination towards both mobile and fixed data usage. We continue to retain a positive view on the adoption of premium services and advanced networks, although we believe that the governmental restrictions on 4G rollouts could restrict telecoms operators' abilities to satisfy growing data consumption needs - in the short term at least. MobiFone is once again in the spotlight with the government looking to sell 49% of the company. We believe that a good foreign investor could inject a strong and positive impetus for renewed competition in the marketplace and drive forward the uptake of 4G services in the coming years.
Latest Updates & Industry Developments


- We are forecasting 134.1mn mobile subscribers by end-2020, for a 136.6% penetration rate. Out of this number, 55.9mn will be 3G/4G connections. However, the figure is distorted by inactive prepaid subscriptions and multiple SIM ownership.

- MobiFone's partial privatisation is once again dominating the Vietnamese telecommunications agenda with Australia's Telstra and Norway's Telenor both interested in the operator. We hold a favourable view of the foreign entrants looking to compete in Vietnam as it could provide new competition and drive forward the uptake of advanced services and new technologies, especially with the country not yet having officially rolled out 4G services.

Table Of Contents

Vietnam Telecommunications Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Telecoms 9
Industry Forecast 10
Latest Updates 10
Structural Trends 10
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Vietnam 2013-2020) 14
Industry Risk/Reward Index 16
Asia Pacific Risk/Reward Index 16
Table: APAC Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q416 18
Industry Risk/Reward Index 20
Market Overview 21
Market Drivers and Trends 21
Mobile 22
Wireline Voice and Broadband 28
Pay-TV 31
Regulatory Development 33
Regulatory Overview 33
Industry Risks 33
Main Development: 4G Licensing 34
Additional Developments 34
Competitive Landscape 36
Table: Key Players 36
Table: Vietnam Mobile Market Overview 36
Table: Vietnam Wireline Broadband Market Overview 37
Company Profile 38
Vietnam Posts and Telecommunications (VNPT) 38
VNPT-VinaPhone 42
MobiFone 46
Viettel 50
FPT Telecom 54
Demographic Forecast 57
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Vietnam 1990-2025) 58
Table: Key Population Ratios (Vietnam 1990-2025) 58
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Vietnam 1990-2025) 59
Table: Population By Age Group (Vietnam 1990-2025) 59
Table: Population By Age Group % (Vietnam 1990-2025) 60
Glossary 62
Table: Glossary Of Terms 62
Methodology 64
Industry Forecast Methodology 64
Sources 66
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 66
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 67
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 68

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